Solution Man Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Yup...lol. we gone from warm running to cold cirrus. You trust that right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Lol one piece of the low on the GFS ends up stuck in Tampa 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 3 minutes ago, soadforecasterx said: Euro AI has just been deadly, really unless otherwise proven wrong seems like the model to trust. i mean it was the snowiest model initially ---and then become supressed so it wasnt perfect 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alfoman Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 I mean we're really NOT far from a positive solution here on the GFS, but we really need to get things right upstairs to make this one work. The margin for error is small here. We had the NE ULL in a much better spot and slower which would be our cold air feed - this followed the Euro trend for sure. More separation in the northern stream to our west as well but that that SW is not as robust as the 6Z Euro advertised. This along with a SW trend on our southern stream energy = no partial phase to bring this one up the coast. All I am saying is that it wouldn't take too much! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
soadforecasterx Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 CMC going to be some type of hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 minute ago, soadforecasterx said: CMC going to be some type of hit Low placement better at 114 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 6 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Low placement better at 114 CMC does not phase like euro but its just more north with the baja low- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 CMC is a hit so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 CMC. Flips to rain for metros Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: CMC is a hit so far its just a more north version of the euro AI. it dosent really phase. the 6z euro is probably just a fantasy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 12z CMC is a good run. We will see what the CMC Parallel shows in a few hours. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Then we go to heavy rain, lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Wx Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 CMC, i would take it. Very marginal temps tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 minute ago, Ji said: CMC does not phase like euro but its just more north with the baja low- Not a bad 12z suite so far 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 2 minutes ago, bncho said: 12z CMC is a good run. We will see what the CMC Parallel shows in a few hours. not really. It dosent phase like the euro so it does not take it up the coast. its just a west to east storm. Its trending more south. It will be suppressed soon unfortunately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Wx Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 ukie colder through 123 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alfoman Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 If we just pulled a NS SW down on the CMC to phase a litttttttle bit, that run would've been lightning 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
soadforecasterx Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 So looking over the models looks like we need to route for the vort over the NE to dive as far south as possible for us to have any chance of snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 2 minutes ago, Jake Wx said: ukie colder through 123 miss south 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 2 minutes ago, Jake Wx said: ukie colder through 123 It's more suppressed than colder IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Wx Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 EPS AI indies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steckstacks Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Then we go to heavy rain, lolI think we can all agree we want rain over sleet lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 30 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Yup...lol. we gone from warm cutter to cold cirrus. I wouldn't quite call it cold cirrus. Maybe slightly above seasonable cirrus? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 It's the Great Lakes vort that needs to pull it up. 12z Ukie lost it, while 0z Ukie and 6z Euro have it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Just now, mitchnick said: It's the Great Lakes vort that needs to pull it up. 12z Ukie lost it, while 0z Ukie and 6z Euro have it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: It's the Great Lakes vort that needs to pull it up. 12z Ukie lost it, while 0z Ukie and 6z Euro have it. If seasonal trends holds it’ll miss south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 14 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Not a bad 12z suite so far So far it's about a net zero IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Just now, bncho said: So far it's about a net zero IMO. Gotta wait for the Doctor, he will decide it 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 This is going to be a wiff most likely. No rain no snowI think at this point it’s either snow or no. We are likely not getting a rain storm 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Just now, Ji said: This is going to be a wiff most likely. No rain no snow I think at this point it’s either snow or no. We are likely not getting a rain storm Looks like George Washington will be wrong. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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