February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: 150K Salary Needed to Post

[Solution Man]

4 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Yup...lol.  we gone from warm running to cold cirrus.    

You trust that right? 

[Paleocene]

Lol one piece of the low on the GFS ends up stuck in Tampa

[Ji]

3 minutes ago, soadforecasterx said:

Euro AI has just been deadly, really unless otherwise proven wrong seems like the model to trust. 

i mean it was the snowiest model initially ---and  then become supressed so it wasnt perfect

[Alfoman]

I mean we're really NOT far from a positive solution here on the GFS, but we really need to get things right upstairs to make this one work. The margin for error is small here. 

We had the NE ULL in a much better spot and slower which would be our cold air feed - this followed the Euro trend for sure. More separation in the northern stream to our west as well but that that SW is not as robust as the 6Z Euro advertised. This along with a SW trend on our southern stream energy = no partial phase to bring this one up the coast.  

All I am saying is that it wouldn't take too much! 

[soadforecasterx]

CMC going to be some type of hit

[Solution Man]

1 minute ago, soadforecasterx said:

CMC going to be some type of hit

Low placement better at 114 

[Ji]

6 minutes ago, Solution Man said:

Low placement better at 114 

CMC does not phase like euro but its just more north with the baja low-

[stormtracker]

CMC is a hit so far

[Paleocene]

CMC. Flips to rain for metros

[Ji]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

CMC is a hit so far

its just a more north version of the euro AI. it dosent really phase. the 6z euro is probably just a fantasy

[bncho]

12z CMC is a good run. We will see what the CMC Parallel shows in a few hours.

[stormtracker]

Then we go to heavy rain, lol

[Jake Wx]

CMC, i would take it. Very marginal temps tho

[Solution Man]

1 minute ago, Ji said:

CMC does not phase like euro but its just more north with the baja low-

Not a bad 12z suite so far

[Ji]

2 minutes ago, bncho said:

12z CMC is a good run. We will see what the CMC Parallel shows in a few hours.

not really. It dosent phase like the euro so it does not take it up the coast. its just a west to east storm. Its trending more south. It will be suppressed soon unfortunately 

[Jake Wx]

ukie colder through 123 

[Alfoman]

If we just pulled a NS SW down on the CMC to phase a litttttttle bit, that run would've been lightning 

[soadforecasterx]

So looking over the models looks like we need to route for the vort over the NE to dive as far south as possible for us to have any chance of snow. 

[Paleocene]

2 minutes ago, Jake Wx said:

ukie colder through 123 

miss south

[bncho]

2 minutes ago, Jake Wx said:

ukie colder through 123 

It's more suppressed than colder IMO

[Jake Wx]

EPS AI indies 

[Steckstacks]

Then we go to heavy rain, lol

I think we can all agree we want rain over sleet lol


.

[SnowenOutThere]

30 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Yup...lol.  we gone from warm cutter to cold cirrus.    

I wouldn't quite call it cold cirrus. Maybe slightly above seasonable cirrus? 

[mitchnick]

It's the Great Lakes vort that needs to pull it up. 12z Ukie lost it, while 0z Ukie and 6z Euro have it.

[mitchnick]

Just now, mitchnick said:

It's the Great Lakes vort that needs to pull it up. 12z Ukie lost it, while 0z Ukie and 6z Euro have it.

 

[TSSN+]

1 minute ago, mitchnick said:

It's the Great Lakes vort that needs to pull it up. 12z Ukie lost it, while 0z Ukie and 6z Euro have it.

If seasonal trends holds it’ll miss south. 

[bncho]

14 minutes ago, Solution Man said:

Not a bad 12z suite so far

So far it's about a net zero IMO.

 

[Solution Man]

Just now, bncho said:

So far it's about a net zero IMO.

 

Gotta wait for the Doctor, he will decide it

[Ji]

This is going to be a wiff most likely. No rain no snow

I think at this point it’s either snow or no. We are likely not getting a rain storm

[bncho]

Just now, Ji said:

This is going to be a wiff most likely. No rain no snow

I think at this point it’s either snow or no. We are likely not getting a rain storm

Looks like George Washington will be wrong.