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January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential


Ralph Wiggum
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3 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

Wasn’t Webber saying the north trend was weenie wishcasting like 9 hours ago? 

I think so. And me thinking suppression was a huge problem 48 hrs ago and now we are getting models with mixing into southern and eastern zones of our region. Scary how quickly this continues to morph. 

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9 minutes ago, Birds~69 said:

This thing's going to shoot right by us to the N if we don't watch out....

I would be absolutely shocked if the mix line makes it past Philly. Even mixing to Philly seems unlikely with the sheer amount of cold air we’re working with.

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4 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Crazy uncle hammers us but notably took a large move N. Can't afford too any more jogs.N we are losing wiggle room.

It doesn’t want to fully transfer the primary low at all. It just keeps going with it until it’s in upstate NY and pushes the high out of the way like it’s nothing. Not really buying that.

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3 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Crazy uncle hammers us but notably took a large move N. Can't afford too any more jogs.N we are losing wiggle room.

Yes we don’t have much more wiggle room before sleet comes into play. Hopefully just an overdoing it by the CMC and UKMet.

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1 minute ago, LVblizzard said:

It doesn’t want to fully transfer the primary low at all. It just keeps going with it until it’s in upstate NY and pushes the high out of the way like it’s nothing. Not really buying that.

Agreed. 50/50, -nao, -ao, confluence in a decent spot, 1040hp. Hard to see all of those features just clearing the way for a 998mb low in WV. 

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