1/23/26-1/25/26 Winter Storm Thread

[Wurbus]

Icon did tick north a bit. Still major storm though

[Vol4Life]

ICON was pretty similar to 18z run. A little more Zr this run in East TN

[Carvers Gap]

The 0z ICON flirted w/ a true coastal cyclogenesis.  Probably some reflection west of the Apps, but the depth of cold would not allow much liquid.  Severe winter storm as is.  Totals are on Pivotal.

[John1122]

The ICON was just brutal for Knoxville, 24 with heavy freezing rain over a solid snow pack. 

[Carvers Gap]

4 minutes ago, Wurbus said:

Icon did tick north a bit. Still major storm though

To clarify, I was comparing to 12z which is the last full run.  The 18z didn't go all the way out.  0z is south of 12z.

[Carvers Gap]

The 0z GFS is running...for those of you watching for trouble, post it here.  You should be able to see differences almost right away.

[Vol4Life]

GFS 00z running…fingers crossed

[Matthew70]

2 minutes ago, Vol4Life said:

GFS 00z running…fingers crossed

And toes!

[Carvers Gap]

A little trick on wxbell...switch to mslp surface pressure and use the mouse over comparison.  You can see the surface pressure about 10 mins before the surface output catches up.

[John1122]

The RUFUS was a colder and juicer version of the NAM at 84. The snow line was 2 or 3 counties south of the NAM. 

[Carvers Gap]

1 minute ago, John1122 said:

The RUFUS was a colder and juicer version of the NAM at 84. The snow line was 2 or 3 counties south of the NAM. 

I started using it after your rec.  Good model.

[Carvers Gap]

At 57 a big 1055 hp is pushing into eastern Montana and western N Dakota.  Something may try to cut, but that dude is gonna have some say in that.

[John1122]

AI GFS is mighty cold and spitting out QPF.  By 102 the 850s reach I-40 with over an inch of qpf down. 

[Carvers Gap]

At 72, the surface pressure configuration is nearly identical to 18z.

[Vol4Life]

At 63, precip is a little more expansive than at 18z

[Reb]

GFS doubles down.

 

[Vol4Life]

At 72, massive 1049 HP is located in SE Minnesota 

[John1122]

850s begin working south again by 108. Huge snow storm likely north of 40, big snow and major ice south of 40 in eastern areas. Ai GFS. 

[Carvers Gap]

Should be a good run.  Slider.

[Vol4Life]

At 78, a 1050 HP is just hanging out in basically the same spot

[Vol4Life]

At 84, heavy snow in East Tn.  

[Tucker1027]

.

[John1122]

I saw a tweet that the GFS got some HH data for the 00z run, but that more would come tomorrow. 

[Carvers Gap]

5 minutes ago, John1122 said:

I saw a tweet that the GFS got some HH data for the 00z run, but that more would come tomorrow. 

I got you at 20" so far....HH FTW???

[TellicoWx]

GFS more in line with path 850 took on the Euro. Heavy snow with the initial overrunning changing to sleet/zr would make sense with typical 850 pass to NW for southern valley

[Stovepipe]

[Shocker0]

Canadian = terrible

[Reb]

7 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said:

I got you at 20" so far....HH FTW???

I wanted my original 32.5”

it’s my snow and I want it now!

[Stovepipe]

[Scottie16]

Depth positive change. Good insight here.


.