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SE Crew - Cliff Diving


HWY316wx
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1 minute ago, Blacksburg Coach said:

Hey, Euro told me to come see you guys...

I don't claim that the models have gained AGI, but I still wonder if they giggle at all of us losing our minds as they waffle.  Then they waffle again for fun.   :)

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If it keeps going anymore north for the next few runs then it’ll be nothing, but cold rain here. I’ve given up on seeing any snow, and am just rooting to avoid the icy mix slop.

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It’s like the weather gods hate us. Like every run, just a little worse than the last. For days.  Nothing trends good, just a small incremental collapse, pain. If euro verified at least a lot on here have only nuisance ice. Cannot imagine local Mets explaining that off after the hype last 4 days

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3 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said:

No matter the outcome, it cannot be understated that our mid/long range modeling is SO.DAMN.BAD.  In any reality is it acceptable to have 3 major models showing me 30" of snow 5 days out and end up with this.  

And then someone is gonna call one of the models the winner, as if the winner didnt suck too lol

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17 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said:

No matter the outcome, it cannot be understated that our mid/long range modeling is SO.DAMN.BAD.  In any reality is it acceptable to have 3 major models showing me 30" of snow 5 days out and end up with this.  

No, from a public perception standpoint this is atrocious. I’ve had friends and family even THIS MORNING ask me if I think we will “really get a foot of snow”. So many people see a post on social media or use those worthless weather apps and it just leads to confusion. People should be prepping for an ice storm, days without power, no heat. Instead half the public thinks this will be a big snow STILL

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I rarely post here despite being a long time lurker. But why exactly are our models so bad at this? We seem to have improved immensely with hurricane forecasting in the last 10-15 years, but modeling this type of event seems to have had zero long range progress. What's the inherent difference?

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