January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm

[Jimbo!]

In the name of good fun I’ll start this thread. I’m officially rescheduled to the 26th from the 13th so that storm failed. Let’s go! Did I really -6F at 12z on the 25th while it’s snowing in the mid range thread? Let’s all Jebwalk into February!!

 

 

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[BornAgain13]

End of the 18z ICON, which only goes out to Friday, was setting up for the weekend event it seems. 

[Brick Tamland]

I have never seen this much agreement among the models for a big one like this one is showing. 

[Jimbo!]

I have never seen this much agreement among the models for a big one like this one is showing. 

December 2018. I think.


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[BornAgain13]

3 minutes ago, Jimbo! said:

December 2018. I think.


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Yes December 2018 had a big signal at Day 6 or 7 and continued from there. 

[AppalachianWedge]

December 2018. I think.


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I do remember that one was showing 7 days out among all major models and panned out.

Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro XL using Tapatalk

[WXNewton]

9 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

End of the 18z ICON, which only goes out to Friday, was setting up for the weekend event it seems. 

Also ICON had it on the 12z run, it goes out further. So pretty much all globals and they have support from their ens. 

[WXNewton]

3 minutes ago, AppalachianWedge said:

I do remember that one was showing 7 days out among all major models and panned out.

Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro XL using Tapatalk
 

I believe the Feb 11-13 storm of 2014 was picked up on early too. 

[kvegas-wx]

[fig]

Let's goooo. Give me a little south shift action and another Jan 21-22 2025 

[BornAgain13]

18z GFS solid Winter Storm for NC but a sharp cut off to the north and then it suppresses south. 

[Brick Tamland]

[Brick Tamland]

[Brick Tamland]

Crazy seeing the Euro with the huge totals instead of the GFS for a change.

[marsman]

1 minute ago, Brick Tamland said:

Hilarious - right at the 1 year anniversary of SE NC getting 1-2'+ drifts

[BornAgain13]

18z GEFS for next Sunday. Strong signal folks!

[lilj4425]

I’m gonna be out of the country next weekend so of course it will verify.

[andrew29649]

8 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

18z GEFS for next Sunday. Strong signal folks!

I’m not greedy, let’s just cash out right now! 

[BornAgain13]

18z Euro AI is a Virginia SnowStorm

[BornAgain13]

18z Euro ... wow yall

[Brick Tamland]

Euro went from a massive snow storm to a massive ice storm for NC. Hope this isn’t the start of it going to crap and it trends colder again.

[BornAgain13]

18z Euro temps at the beginning of the storm 

[WinstonSalemArlington]

[Brick Tamland]

1 minute ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

That's more like it.

[WNC_Fort]

The mean is starting to look legitimately insane

[Brick Tamland]

1 minute ago, WNC_Fort said:

The mean is starting to look legitimately insane

Looks a lot better than the regular Euro run. Hope that one was just a blip for the Euro showing ice instead of snow here.

[andrew29649]

2 minutes ago, WNC_Fort said:

The mean is starting to look legitimately insane

I’ve been lurking for almost 20 years. This is crazy to me less than a week out. Considering all globals seem to be showing something of WSW criteria at the same time.

[GaWx]

16 minutes ago, WNC_Fort said:

The mean is starting to look legitimately insane

 

11 minutes ago, andrew29649 said:

I’ve been lurking for almost 20 years. This is crazy to me less than a week out. Considering all globals seem to be showing something of WSW criteria at the same time.

 If it is looks like it’s insane, quacks like it’s insane, it really is insane. That’s because the WxBell Euro AIFS ens snow maps have a flaw so major that the 12Z run (just for one example) had one member 300 miles offshore in the Gulf getting a foot of snow within a 6 hour period while the temp was 65F+! You read that right, a 2”/hour snowstorm with temps in the 60s. These maps are so flawed than even Joe Bastardi, himself, noticed the same problem a few weeks ago! If even Joe noted this, well….use these at your own risk. The regular EPS snow maps are otoh legit:

 

[wncsnow]

33 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said:

Looks a lot better than the regular Euro run. Hope that one was just a blip for the Euro showing ice instead of snow here.

A big ice storm is very possible, maybe even likely for someone in the CAD area. 

Major questions still are-

1. Low pressure track

2. Strength of High pressure, depth of cold air.

3. Blocking. Need it to stop it from amplifying too much and giving us a rainstorm. 

[lilj4425]

34 minutes ago, GaWx said:

 

 If it is looks like it’s insane, quacks like it’s insane, it really is insane. That’s because the WxBell Euro AIFS ens snow maps have a flaw so major that the 12Z run (just for one example) had one member 300 miles offshore in the Gulf getting a foot of snow within a 6 hour period while the temp was 65F+! You read that right, a 2”/hour snowstorm with temps in the 60s. These maps are so flawed than even Joe Bastardi, himself, noticed the same problem a few weeks ago! If even Joe noted this, well….use these at your own risk. The regular EPS snow maps are otoh legit:

 

Get out. How dare you rain on Brick Tamland’s parade.