gamecockinupstateSC Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago Euro increased measurable snow from Newberry to Greenville SC. .5 to .8 amounts. Nothing major but better last three runs. 1 inch line approaching Augusta GA/SC line. Hopefully a few ticks like this more can occur. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago New SREF mean vs 21z. Never been that impressed with the SREF but interesting nonetheless. Old New 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 8 hours ago Author Share Posted 8 hours ago Euro back in the game central NC. BL colder bc of precip and 1-2” snow 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 6z Nam back west, snow breaking out all the way into the foothills. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Trend is clear as day on the NAM. The angle of moisture fetch off the gulf has improved dramatically. I think the NW portion of that precip shield is likely under-modeled as well. Between the terrain and the sloped arctic front aiding in lift, it won’t take a ton of moisture to squeeze something out further north and west. Still too early to feel confident in it, but who woulda thought this time last night that we’d still be in the game? Precipitable water values trend on NAM 3km. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 6z GFS and ensembles show a significant improvement in the amount of moisture across the entire state. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago No doubt all the major models have trended west and with more snow in NC. Euro, GFS and NAM have all trended better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago New SREF 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Plenty of moisture on the HRRR but need more cold. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Still not impressed for my area. Models consistently bust for the amount of precip we are supposed to get. Add that with the temps, and we might see some white rain. I do think central/south GA do well though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaPilot Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Trend has been our friend though Suzook! Still think its not going to be cold enough for it to stick. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 850 temps at onset favor snow West of 85 and rain East. Doesn't push the cold air East until after most of the moisture has exited. Just something to watch Tommorow morning 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fig Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Going to be a toasty 63 today down on the NC coast. Hope someone gets snow tomorrow... Jealous! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago NAM looks better than the HRRR, but still a lot of precip wasted as rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 12z NAM is a hit just NW of Raleigh. Narrow stripe. 3k NAM is further NW with light to moderate snow for a good area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 3k NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Approximate cutoff between what will largely fall as rain vs mostly snow (assuming the NAM's temp profiles are correct) Within the snow zone, a coating to half an inch is possible with a small chance of more if banding develops. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Well, Webber said no snow at all for the Triangle. I guess that's the ballgame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormwatcherJ Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Would love to get a little something here in Hillsborough, but that rain/snow line is always west of predictions. I’ll say Greensboro will be a rain/snow mix, west of Greensboro a little snow, east of Greensboro all rain. Would love to be wrong. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leesville Wx Hawk Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 4 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: Well, Webber said no snow at all for the Triangle. I guess that's the ballgame. He’s good at what he does and his reasoning makes sense. At least we had something to follow and there are more chances coming up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leesville Wx Hawk Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, stormwatcherJ said: Would love to get a little something here in Hillsborough, but that rain/snow line is always west of predictions. I’ll say Greensboro will be a rain/snow mix, west of Greensboro a little snow, east of Greensboro all rain. Would love to be wrong. You have a decent shot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hrtsdsn Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago At this point I'll be happy if i just see a few flakes. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago NAM was a bit flatter that run. The question will be whether that becomes a trend or just a blip, and it’s gonna windshield wiper back later today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 23 minutes ago, Leesville Wx Hawk said: He’s good at what he does and his reasoning makes sense. At least we had something to follow and there are more chances coming up. He can be annoyingly arrogant so it would be fun to see him get egg on his face, but I don't think it will be this time. As he has pointed out (over and over and over) with no established high the cold air is chasing moisture and in the history of NWP that has never worked out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 3 minutes ago, SnowDawg said: NAM was a bit flatter that run. The question will be whether that becomes a trend or just a blip, and it’s gonna windshield wiper back later today. Also colder (then 6z anyway) a bit of a double edged sword, which is why there isn't much upside with this one 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 6 minutes ago, cbmclean said: He can be annoyingly arrogant so it would be fun to see him get egg on his face, but I don't think it will be this time. As he has pointed out (over and over and over) with no established high the cold air is chasing moisture and in the history of NWP that has never worked out. That's not what he was saying at the start, but he'll never say he changed his mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted 52 minutes ago Share Posted 52 minutes ago 23 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: That's not what he was saying at the start, but he'll never say he changed his mind. I missed his early pronouncements; was he bullish? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted 49 minutes ago Share Posted 49 minutes ago GFS at hour 27. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted 44 minutes ago Share Posted 44 minutes ago GFS looks good at hour 30 and 33. Has snow further east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted 43 minutes ago Share Posted 43 minutes ago 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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