Jan 17-18 Sunday Funday Storm

[gamecockinupstateSC]

Euro increased measurable snow from Newberry to Greenville SC.  .5 to .8 amounts.  Nothing major but better last three runs.  1 inch line approaching Augusta GA/SC line. Hopefully a few ticks like this more can occur. 

[SnowDawg]

New SREF mean vs 21z. Never been that impressed with the SREF but interesting nonetheless. 
Old

New

[NorthHillsWx]

Euro back in the game central NC. BL colder bc of precip and 1-2” snow 

[WXNewton]

6z Nam back west, snow breaking out all the way into the foothills.

[SnowDawg]

Trend is clear as day on the NAM. The angle of moisture fetch off the gulf has improved dramatically. I think the NW portion of that precip shield is likely under-modeled as well. Between the terrain and the sloped arctic front aiding in lift, it won’t take a ton of moisture to squeeze something out further north and west. Still too early to feel confident in it, but who woulda thought this time last night that we’d still be in the game?

Precipitable water values trend on NAM 3km.

[WXNewton]

6z GFS and ensembles show a significant improvement in the amount of moisture across the entire state.

[Brick Tamland]

No doubt all the major models have trended west and with more snow in NC. Euro, GFS and NAM have all trended better.

[BornAgain13]

New SREF

[Brick Tamland]

Plenty of moisture on the HRRR but need more cold. 

[suzook]

Still not impressed for my area. Models consistently bust for the amount of precip we are supposed to get. Add that with the temps, and we might see some white rain. I do think central/south GA do well though.

[DeltaPilot]

Trend has been our friend though Suzook!  Still think its not going to be cold enough for it to stick. 

[olafminesaw]

850 temps at onset favor snow West of 85 and rain East. Doesn't push the cold air East until after most of the moisture has exited. Just something to watch Tommorow morning 

[fig]

Going to be a toasty 63 today down on the NC coast. Hope someone gets snow tomorrow... Jealous!