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Mid-Long Range Discussion 2026


BooneWX
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47 minutes ago, GaWx said:

 In my area where ~1” fell on April 26th (during the week ending 8AM on April 28th), which is more than the normal week’s ~0.75”. I don’t see how that area really worsened a category between 8AM on April 21st and 8AM on April 28th with that week being wetter than normal. I’m thinking that some reports came in between 8AM 4/21 and 8AM 4/28 that were based on conditions prior to 4/26. Keep in mind that 8AM 4/28 was merely the deadline to get reports in that would be reflected on today’s map. For example, I’d think that the 4/28 deadline would incorporate reports coming in on, say, 4/25.

 Also, some reports submitted could easily be based on conditions from 1-2 days prior to the submission. So, reporting lag would have two components to consider.

 I’m not saying no area in reality worsened. Your area is a good example of one that really did worsen from what you’re saying. But your area’s worsening doesn’t represent the entire SE.

 This isn’t meant to be a criticism as reporting lag can’t be prevented…it’s totally normal. And I’m not at all trying to downplay the drought, which has been and still is a bad one overall. 

Understood. The root of my post was about NC in general, I haven’t followed how much rain Georgia got but I know it was more than we did. Regardless, your way looks continued wet over the next week, so hopefully next weeks monitor catches up and shows some improvement 

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Georgia has had pretty good rain the past couple days. I think we've had 1.75" since Tuesday at my place and we're supposed to get another 1" over the weekend. I expect there to be some improvement on next week's monitor, although it will take several weeks or even months of normal to above-average rain to get us back to where we're supposed to be. 

ETA- Areas down in South GA are supposed to get close to 2" this weekend, and they sure could use it. Hopefully, it will help knock down those fires and get them out of exceptional drought status.

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