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Mid-Long Range Discussion 2026


BooneWX
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15 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

It’s like… we’ve seen this before. Total collapse of rain chances today from what looked like an area wide soaker to nothing. Now the weekend is questionable especially in the triad 

It seems like everything is being pushed south all of a sudden with the high pressure coming in stouter. You'd know north trend in the winter and south trend in the spring.

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31 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

It seems like everything is being pushed south all of a sudden with the high pressure coming in stouter. You'd know north trend in the winter and south trend in the spring.

Sorry NC, I washed my truck and tuned up the motorcycle, hence the rain shifting south.  I will try and do some garden work were the rain would help out and restart the drought down here so y'all have a better chance at rain.

  • Haha 3
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6 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

It’s funny, we were told last weekends rain was the appetizer now it + those who saw rain yesterday might be the entire “wet” period…

I'm grateful to have received a little over an inch the past 3 or 4 days. It has helped the top of the ground some but the rivers and streams didn't budge and they are talking about water restrictions coming along the Catawba River basin this summer if things don't change quickly. They are already asking people to conserve voluntarily. 

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1 hour ago, NorthHillsWx said:

I guess the rain this morning disappearing might result in less stabilization of the atmosphere and more opportunity for storms this evening. Recent hi res modeling has been trending higher with storm coverage in areas that missed today’s morning rain 

Idk about elsewhere but CLT has had heavy cloud cover all day, dont think the environment will be great here but I guess we will see what turns up.

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46 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Extreme drought exploded in NC this week. Exceptional drought has developed east of Charlotte:

https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?NC
 

Hopefully this is the peak 

 
 I believe that there’s notable reporting lag. I don’t mean just that the map is as of 8AM of two days ago (4/28). Based on looking at rainfall reports across the SE for prior to 8AM on Tue there was moderate to heavy rainfall in portions of especially N AL to NW SC during the several days prior to April 28th. Despite that, some of those counties actually got worse vs the map as of the prior weekly map. I believe that due to the time needed to gather reports that there’s average reporting lag of perhaps a few days. In other words, these maps as of Tue at 8AM are in reality probably reflecting closer to, say, an average of 8AM on Saturday or whatever. Tue at 8AM is just the deadline to get reports in so they have time to compile the map for the Thu AM release. In reality, there’d be reports coming in before Tue…say on a Saturday for example. And then that Sat submission could have been based on a Fri or Thu observation.

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