Mid-Long Range Discussion 2026

[neatlburbwthrguy]

Just now, WiseWeather said:

Welcome home… foothills are loving this!!!


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Congrats! How is north ga looking?  I don’t have access to maps. 

[BooneWX]

I gotta go to bed before the Euro kills my vibe

[Brick Tamland]

[BornAgain13]

Beautiful run for many!

[NorthHillsWx]

Need a cigarette after that run

[Brick Tamland]

[CaryWx]

Just now, NorthHillsWx said:

Need a cigarette after that run

Maybe but that warming inland trend needs to stop and we have 3 more days still. 

[WiseWeather]

Congrats! How is north ga looking?  I don’t have access to maps. 

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[NorthHillsWx]

That 5-7” bullseye falls in about 6 hours too. My god that would be fun

[Coach McGuirk]

Latest GFS Snowfall.
GFS Model – Total Snowfall (10:1 SLR) for Southeast U.S. | Tropical Tidbits

[BornAgain13]

That run was almost even better... looks like part of the wave broke off.. not sure what happened there but still solid. 

[NorthHillsWx]

1 minute ago, CaryWx said:

Maybe but that warming inland trend needs to stop and we have 3 more days still. 

Agreed- we’ve gone from NW edge to SE edge. Euro being east still I think we’re in a good spot for now. Unlike the foothills and triad we aren’t asking for a NW trend but it to stay the same. Definitely concerned 

[NorthHillsWx]

We gotta be careful here- this could jackpot DC if this keeps up lol

[WXNewton]

Heck of a trend...last four runs of GFS...it can slow down now on NW shift.

[BooneWX]

More of a true miller a look than your classic overrunning setup

[Brick Tamland]

6 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

We gotta be careful here- this could jackpot DC if this keeps up lol

It'll probably jog NW and then back E a few times between now and then. 

[BornAgain13]

0z CMC has the storm but with much lighter amounts. 

[NorthHillsWx]

3 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

0z CMC has the storm but with much lighter amounts. 

And far too warm south of 85

[NorthHillsWx]

Concerning issues:

1) sharp cutoff of overrunning precip to east (someone would get burned). This happens a lot with overrunning precip. Then there’s usually a dry slot before surface low takes over

2) models being too aggressive with cold push and trend to slower Arctic front/cold chasing precip/wasted qpf

3) Is the NW trend going to stop? Still 3.5 days out would not be the first time show maps went from Wilmington to Knoxville especially in a Nina base state without blocking 

[NC_hailstorm]

That's still a big jump on the Canadian,low off the coast now with precip in interior areas.

Had nothing till tonight.

[WXNewton]

Stick with ensembles...let's see how the agree with OP run.

[BornAgain13]

GEFS coming in hot!!

[NC_hailstorm]

Good grief..... GEFS

[BornAgain13]

0z GEFS is a Dream. Crush Job

[CaryWx]

Some of those panels have rain pretty far inland

[wncsnow]

About a 3 inch mean here on the GEFS. Not too shabby

[WXNewton]

Big jump!

 

[BornAgain13]

[Brick Tamland]

4 minutes ago, WXNewton said:

Big jump!

 

That's what we like to see. Positive trends.

[CheoahBald1]

The trend is undeniable, I hope we all score fellas. But the gfs has burnt us all more times than not


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