January 2026 Short/Medium Range Thread

[Carvers Gap]

Both the 12zGFS(and runs prior) and 0z Euro are flirting with breaking all-time record lows.  I gotta think w/ that type of cold on modeling....we see 2-3-4 more chances before winter is up.  I think this is the start of the pattern and not end of it.

[nrgjeff]

This would be a huge problem across the entire Eastern Interconnect. Temps go all the way to the Coast from NYC to New England.

GFS (not shown) has a gem of a Miller A very end of January. 

[Carvers Gap]

@Matthew70, I am reminded that you consistently said not to cancel winter.  Just a little thank you card from me.

[John1122]

When viewing snow maps from more than 12 hours out, see my avatar for guidance.

[tnweathernut]

Does anyone want to hear the 12z Euro is trying to snow on the gulf and Florida beaches again at day 9?  It's going to nail this at day 9, isn't it?  lol

[Bigbald]

22 minutes ago, tnweathernut said:

Does anyone want to hear the 12z Euro is trying to snow on the gulf and Florida beaches again at day 9?  It's going to nail this at day 9, isn't it?  lol

Thats exactly where we need it to be!

[Matthew70]

1 hour ago, Carvers Gap said:

@Matthew70, I am reminded that you consistently said not to cancel winter.  Just a little thank you card from me.

@Carvers GapThank You!  I know yesterday I got under a few skins.  I honestly when I made the comment about Bam winning the lottery.  I was just making fun of him.  It was poor judgment & for that I apologize.  It’s nice to have a forum like this that everyone looks past our slip ups. I would never not cheer on everyone to get snow.  Snow is magical!  As I have gotten older I try to always remember we don’t know what that individual is going thru on the other end.  I try to always these days show grace.  I appreciate you & many others  very much in this forum. I appreciate this forum helping others learn & keeping us updated. We look to have chances at the best possible time to score snow. 

[nrgjeff]

It needs to cut like the 12Z GFS.

51 minutes ago, tnweathernut said:

Does anyone want to hear the 12z Euro is trying to snow on the gulf and Florida beaches again at day 9?  It's going to nail this at day 9, isn't it?  lol

Hammers Chatty all snow Day whatever that is.

[Matthew70]

51 minutes ago, John1122 said:

When viewing snow maps from more than 12 hours out, see my avatar for guidance.

I do love the new avatar.  Definitely makes me laugh. 

[Matthew70]

52 minutes ago, tnweathernut said:

Does anyone want to hear the 12z Euro is trying to snow on the gulf and Florida beaches again at day 9?  It's going to nail this at day 9, isn't it?  lol

They can have snow as long as we get snow also.  Sharing is caring right?

[Holston_River_Rambler]

Guess it's time to go back to tropical convection and strat observing.

SOI dropped today for the first time in a long time. Sometimes you'll see people talk about SOI drops and storms with a lot of precip. across the southern tier of the US, but the current one managed it with a pretty positive Nina like SOI for the past month. 

 

Anyway:

 

 

Split at 10mb:

 

 

GFS has it too: