Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs

[pasnownut]

ICON also snows till mid mornin monday....verbatim.

nice start for 0z's  lets hope for more good ones.

[pasnownut]

9 minutes ago, canderson said:

0z GFS is running and contains new data from the hurricane hunters. 

shouldnt they be called snowcane hunters in winter? 

 

[pasnownut]

Icon also notably S wrt best snows now through lower susqu valley and into northern MD.  Guessin 75 mile tick S and thats a sizeable tick

[paweather]

Talk about a hammer down the GFS goes crazy! 

[pasnownut]

at 90 GFS notably more amped qpf field

HP up north 1037 vs 1034 prior

slp pops 100 east of hatterus 

warm nose is small but there.

[pasnownut]

at 96 secondary prime position and tucket.  warm nose was cut off 

yall r gonna like this.......

[paweather]

Look like a 16-20” GFS storm. One for the history books

[pasnownut]

at 102 - 24hrs in and still lots more to come verbatim

this could be what weve been waiting for 

[Blizzard of 93]

Just now, pasnownut said:

at 102 - 24hrs in and still lots more to come verbatim

this could be what weve been waiting for 

This is the height of he storm on the GFS for us!

Crushed

[pasnownut]

at 114 shes wrappin up, a 36 hr all snow event.

bombs away baby

[AccuChris]

0z GFS kuchera is beautiful. Much more in line with the other models


.

[canderson]

Lock up that gfs run holy cow 

[Blizzard of 93]

0z GFS is now matching the Euro & delivering 16 to 18 to many of us.

[pasnownut]

6 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

This is the height of he storm on the GFS for us!

Crushed

 

 

primary was less of an issue adn secondary was just perfectly placed adn takes a more tucked track NE.

[Blizzard of 93]

Just now, pasnownut said:

primary was less of an issue adn secondary was just perfectly placed adn takes a more tucked track NE.

I love the chance of a long duration crushing storm.

If this track holds, just imagine what the RGEM & NAM will show.

[pasnownut]

7 minutes ago, AccuChris said:

0z GFS kuchera is beautiful. Much more in line with the other models


.

at the minimum, this one gives us southers a little breathing room, cause we were feeling the heat earlier today.  

if this is a byproduct of the new data being ingested, keep eatin what your eatin GFS

[MAG5035]

27 minutes ago, canderson said:

0z GFS is running and contains new data from the hurricane hunters. 

They can keep that data coming haha. It doesn’t get much better than that for a well timed and positioned handoff to the coastal low to put PA in the best snows. 

[Itstrainingtime]

Thanks for all of the updates, guys! Living vicariously through you from Ft. Lauderdale where it's currently 71/58. Off to Miami tomorrow morning.

[pasnownut]

CMC at 90 has 1003 primary slightly n of 12z and is in southern ohio.  warm nose is there

[pasnownut]

cmc at 96 pops secondary 75 miles off s jerzy coast

I'm right on the taint line, but I'd likely be pingin.

wraps up at 102 is 

not bad either, but not GFS....my new love (well for the next 6 hrs anyway)

to whomever is on the night shift....keep ahold of the wheel.  gnight all

 

[pasnownut]

sno maps for cmc also give us southers a little more wiggle room.  Trend was a good one for now.

ttfn

 

[canderson]

4 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

cmc at 96 pops secondary 75 miles off s jerzy coast

I'm right on the taint line, but I'd likely be pingin.

wraps up at 102 is 

not bad either, but not GFS....my new love (well for the next 6 hrs anyway)

to whomever is on the night shift....keep ahold of the wheel.  gnight all

 

It has Massachusetts sleeting. Overamped much? 

[Blizzard of 93]

Ukie looking good too for us.

[Blizzard of 93]

National Blends at 3z also look great.

[Jns2183]

flash backs to that candy disco map of many years ago said to be a mother of all storms tripe phaser and ended up not happening and it was sunny and in the 40s lol
 

The triple phaser might as be weinies version of the ring with how much it's siren song always leads us to think with the wrong body part.

I got
the knickerbocker in late January 1922 968mb
The Great Appalachian storm late November 1950 970mb
Great Midwestern blizzard of January 1978 955mb
Superstorm March 1993 960mb
Halloween Noreaster 2011 971mb

That's all I can think of that was legit triple phasers. Logically we really should banish that word until 2030 if not 2035.

Alot of people forget about the Halloween one thinking we are so do

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[Jns2183]

They can keep that data coming haha. It doesn’t get much better than that for a well timed and positioned handoff to the coastal low to put PA in the best snows. 

What's the timing with the Baja energy and north vort that is required for a transfer like the GFS

Look at the 500mb rh% between GFS and euro at 12z
For 00z, 06z Monday
Time ordered, GFS first

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