Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26

[colonel717]

Not much on GEFS. Worse than 6z. Keeps all south of the border

 

[MikeB_01]

54 minutes ago, colonel717 said:

Nothing on radar but decent snow shower breaking out.

i thought i was crazy when i didnt see anything with reflectivity but could see if snowing outside. I did a little research and figured out that sometimes correlation coefficient sniffs out these low level pixie dust snows. Just thought that was pretty cool 

[southpark]

3 hours ago, colonel717 said:

A funny story. They have done a terrible job clearing our roads in my neighborhood. Yesterday we didn't get mail delivered because mailman said he couldn't get to mailboxes. Basically a car and a half could fit on the road instead of 2 cars. He delivered to a couple houses on my road but not mine. When mine was clear as could be. Well late yesterday afternoon, a plow came, must have been in response to mail issue, and opened up the street and mailbox access more. As he did that he plowed snow back onto the front of people driveways. I cleared mine as soon as he came because I knew the slop would refreeze into ice blocks.  I just looked out and saw my neighbor with his snowblower to clear the plowed in snow. Well he tried but it was too frozen and then had to use a shovel.  As he started he walked over towards his mailbox and shot the finger at it. I'm sure he wasn't expecting anyone to see that but I am sure that is a lot of peoples reaction to the snow... 

I just had to flag down my mail person since they can't reach our box because of how they plowed around my mailbox. 

[MikeB_01]

Ensembles continue to show high confidence in a Nor`easter
developing this weekend off the eastern seaboard as a digging
eastern trough invokes cyclogenesis Saturday into Sunday. What
we are still uncertain of is the exact track of the low tied to
the timing of (or if) the upper low closes off from the flow.

The snowiest scenario is one in which the low closes early is
deeper. There is really only one cluster representing 25% of
guidance at this point that allows for this to happen. Should
it occur, probabilities of snow are mostly confined to the high
terrain of West Virginia (60% chance of >1", 30% chance of >3",
10% chance of >6"). 75% of guidance has the low closing too
late (and too east) or not deep enough to suggest much appreciable
snow accumulation in the forecast area at this time.