colonel717 Posted Thursday at 08:37 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:37 PM 2 hours ago, Gordo74 said: How's next weekend looking on the models? Take a look at the models for yourself. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php https://weather.cod.edu/forecast/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted Thursday at 08:44 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:44 PM 3k has 4 inches over Wexford Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted Thursday at 08:49 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:49 PM Not much time left with the NAM's and SREF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted Thursday at 09:38 PM Share Posted Thursday at 09:38 PM From Cleve on the Arctic front to get idea of timing. The latest 12z and 18z hi-res forecast model guidance shows the Arctic front arriving in NWOH and around the Toledo area around 4 pm and 6 pm. The front will arrive in the Cleveland area between 5 pm and 7 pm and the Erie, Akron, Canton, Youngstown area between 6 pm and 8 pm. The guidance shows the potential for a broken line of heavier snow showers or possible snow squalls along the passage of the Arctic front Friday evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EVLINC64 Posted Thursday at 09:45 PM Share Posted Thursday at 09:45 PM 55 minutes ago, colonel717 said: Not much time left with the NAM's and SREF Might want to shitcan the GooFoS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted Thursday at 10:33 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:33 PM 1-2" is the general idea for tomorrow. NBM mean is 1.4" at PIT and 1.1" at AGC with decent enough odds of >1" (70%+). Only takes 0.1" at 10:1 to get an inch, so we don't need a ton of moisture with even better ratios. Could be between 15:1 and 20:1, give or take. Latest NAM and GFS are both ~2" according to BUFKIT. 4 hours ago, Gordo74 said: How's next weekend looking on the models? Next weekend still a ways out. Nothing really interesting on the operationals. Cutters and other sheared-out messes. Ensembles have also lost a bit of the signal, so I think odds are against anything relevant for now. It will likely change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted Thursday at 10:39 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:39 PM 5 hours ago, colonel717 said: I think we get one more cold relative to average shot. Obviously not like what's coming this weekend, but serviceable for late season snow chances. In any case, I noticed some melting, a few bare areas on steeper south facing slopes driving home. We are getting to the end of the reasonable expectation for snow retention anyways if its a sunny day. Looking forward to the clipper and wind this weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gordo74 Posted Thursday at 10:46 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:46 PM 2 hours ago, colonel717 said: Take a look at the models for yourself. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php https://weather.cod.edu/forecast/ Hey thanks! Never had these links before and just relied on the hype machine of this forum. Appreciate you 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted yesterday at 12:53 PM Share Posted yesterday at 12:53 PM This clipper is starting to look like a dud. Radar looks pretty sparse so far. Hope I’m wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted yesterday at 01:53 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:53 PM 46 minutes ago, TimB said: This clipper is starting to look like a dud. Radar looks pretty sparse so far. Hope I’m wrong. We've been looking at a 1-2 inch range, maybe 3 in an isolated spot to fall over like a 12 hour period. That still looks reasonable so not sure it's a "dud". Even if it ends up on the lower side of the range its still within the expectation. The more "steady" light snow wasn't forecast until late morning / early afternoon, then we see a lull until the cold front blows through. I do think we've seen a slight push for the better totals to the South and West over the past couple days, but these things have such a narrow area of "jackpot" totals its not surprising to see that move around. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted yesterday at 02:14 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:14 PM Surprised to see some areas of freezing drizzle on my way into work today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted yesterday at 02:33 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:33 PM Dry slotted to hell. Wonder if we even get an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted yesterday at 02:44 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:44 PM 8 minutes ago, TimB said: Dry slotted to hell. Wonder if we even get an inch. It will fill in. I think we will still pull an inch. However, I'm not going to fret if i get .75" instead of 1.5". This ones been trending down all week. If anything, I'll just enjoy the snow falling consistently out there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted yesterday at 02:53 PM Author Share Posted yesterday at 02:53 PM 5 minutes ago, MikeB_01 said: It will fill in. I think we will still pull an inch. However, I'm not going to fret if i get .75" instead of 1.5". This ones been trending down all week. If anything, I'll just enjoy the snow falling consistently out there. I still have close to 10” in my yard, so any snow on snow is good. Interesting to see if that secondary squall line develops this evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted yesterday at 03:15 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:15 PM Moderate snow here now. Will enjoy anything that we get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted yesterday at 04:12 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:12 PM coming down good right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted yesterday at 04:53 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:53 PM Light / moderate here. Looks great! Covered most of the dirty snow on the side of the road already! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted yesterday at 05:05 PM Author Share Posted yesterday at 05:05 PM Pretty bad accident on Rt 79 near Zelie. Not sure if roads or visibility, but heard fatal and at least 18 cars. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TorontoTransplant Posted yesterday at 05:14 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:14 PM 2 hours ago, TimB said: Dry slotted to hell. Wonder if we even get an inch. Welcome back, KPITSnow! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted yesterday at 05:17 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:17 PM 1 minute ago, TorontoTransplant said: Welcome back, KPITSnow! Lol, not the same person at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted yesterday at 06:11 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:11 PM Still 9/10 days away so nothing is certain, but EURO and EUROAI looks to have the best solution if you are looking for snow for next Weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted yesterday at 07:16 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:16 PM Yikes, did we even get half an inch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted yesterday at 07:43 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:43 PM 27 minutes ago, TimB said: Yikes, did we even get half an inch? Who cares? Its not like it was the difference of missing 5-8 and getting 2. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity87 Posted yesterday at 08:59 PM Share Posted yesterday at 08:59 PM Crazy that 79 is still closed up that way from the accident. Really serious stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted yesterday at 09:34 PM Share Posted yesterday at 09:34 PM 5 minutes ago, SteelCity87 said: Crazy that 79 is still closed up that way from the accident. Really serious stuff. Seeing there were a couple accidents on Rt 28 too. Probably only got a half inch, but I think sometimes less is worse because people don't take it as seriously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted yesterday at 09:41 PM Share Posted yesterday at 09:41 PM 4 minutes ago, RitualOfTheTrout said: Seeing there were a couple accidents on Rt 28 too. Probably only got a half inch, but I think sometimes less is worse because people don't take it as seriously. Looking at video, it looks like it could have been near whiteout at the time. https://x.com/MartyGriffinKD/status/2019831116744864092 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago Snow showers starting to build back in. Looks like some decent squalls north of Lake Erie heading south. Lets see what we can add to what we already got. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity87 Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago 1 hour ago, RitualOfTheTrout said: Seeing there were a couple accidents on Rt 28 too. Probably only got a half inch, but I think sometimes less is worse because people don't take it as seriously. Scary stuff. There's only so much you can do on a highway like that when others aren't driving safe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 1 hour ago, colonel717 said: Snow showers starting to build back in. Looks like some decent squalls north of Lake Erie heading south. Lets see what we can add to what we already got. Yeah, we keep getting waves ahead of the front, we should make it to at least an inch + everywhere with this. Getting a moderate burst right now. Some hints of a band off huron too after the front. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago Best rates of the day right now here. Real high ratio stuff coming down. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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