Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26

[blackngoldrules]

Winter Storm Watch

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
204 AM EST Thu Jan 22 2026

OHZ039>041-048>050-057>059-068-069-PAZ013-014-020>022-029-031-073-
075-WVZ001>004-012-021-509>511-513-221515-
/O.NEW.KPBZ.WS.A.0001.260125T0000Z-260126T1800Z/
Tuscarawas-Carroll-Columbiana-Coshocton-Harrison-Jefferson OH-
Muskingum-Guernsey-Belmont-Noble-Monroe-Lawrence-Butler-Beaver-
Allegheny-Armstrong-Washington-Greene-Westmoreland-Fayette-Hancock-
Brooke-Ohio-Marshall-Wetzel-Marion-Monongalia-
Ridges of Eastern Monongalia and Northwestern Preston-Preston-
Western Tucker-
Including the cities of Malvern, Greensburg, New Philadelphia,
Monessen, Wheeling, Cambridge, Weirton, Zanesville, Parsons,
Ambridge, Canonsburg, Coshocton, Dover, Uniontown, Cadiz, Fairmont,
Follansbee, Salem, New Martinsville, Kittanning, Martins Ferry, Saint
George, New Castle, Washington, East
Liverpool, St. Clairsville, Butler, Bruceton Mills, Monaca,
Caldwell, Kingwood, New Kensington, Beaver Falls, Wellsburg,
Woodsfield, Aliquippa, Morgantown, Moundsville, Latrobe, Columbiana,
Steubenville, Ellwood City, Murrysville, Waynesburg, Lower Burrell,
Pittsburgh Metro Area, Hendricks, Coopers Rock, Ford City, and
Carrollton
204 AM EST Thu Jan 22 2026

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Moderate to major impacts to the region are possible later
this weekend with periods of moderate to heavy snow.

* WHERE...Portions of east central Ohio, southwest and western
Pennsylvania, and northern and the northern panhandle of West
Virginia.

* WHEN...From Saturday evening through Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible later this
weekend and Monday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.

[blackngoldrules]

06z GFS. Yikes. Not sure what Euro is showing when ratios are added as I don't have the paid version. Almost 10 inches 10:1 ratio.

Sent from my SM-S931U using Tapatalk

[southpark]

38 minutes ago, blackngoldrules said:

06z GFS. Yikes. Not sure what Euro is showing when ratios are added as I don't have the paid version. Almost 10 inches 10:1 ratio.

Sent from my SM-S931U using Tapatalk
 

What a turnaround on the GFS. Wish the storm was starting right now with that run!

[colonel717]

We are at 12-13 inches with all this to the west for the NAM

 

[southpark]

3 minutes ago, colonel717 said:

We are at 12-13 inches with all this to the west for the NAM

 

Let's hope that sleet line doesn't get any closer and goes south in future runs.

[SteelCity87]

06z Euro

[colonel717]

26 minutes ago, southpark said:

Let's hope that sleet line doesn't get any closer and goes south in future runs.

Yea but we would have 15+ by the time it may even mix for a little so at that point no big deal. It's not letting me WTOD at the beginning if it even happens at any point. 

[jwilson]

NBM mean on today's 7 UTC run up to 11" even.  Spread tightened a little more to 7" to 13" on average.  1 in 3 odds of >12" total.  >8" up slightly to 68% chance.

Most guidance held, so I guess we're waiting to see if a last minute de-amplification occurs.

(As a side note, I see a lot of Kuchera maps, but just be careful about those as they tend to get overdone on totals.)

[colonel717]

14 minutes ago, jwilson said:

NBM mean on today's 7 UTC run up to 11" even.  Spread tightened a little more to 7" to 13" on average.  1 in 3 odds of >12" total.  >8" up slightly to 68% chance.

Most guidance held, so I guess we're waiting to see if a last minute de-amplification occurs.

(As a side note, I see a lot of Kuchera maps, but just be careful about those as they tend to get overdone on totals.)

Most kuchara are about 13-15 to 1 which is quite possible for a good part of the storm. 

[Burghblizz]

I’d say the 6Zs more than held serve!