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Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26


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Some thunder possible tomorrow evening, not expected to be severe with MUCAPE below 500 J/kg. Although I do wonder if some small hail might be possible with any stronger cells, especially in the warm sector.

   ...Eastern Great Lakes to the Mid Atlantic...
   A secondary trough on the eastern periphery of the ridge will
   intensify as it moves out of the Great Lakes and into the
   Northeastern US late Friday into early Saturday. A modest surface
   low and low-level warm advection will allow for weak elevated
   destabilization and isolated storms over parts of eastern MI and OH,
   into the central Appalachians Friday evening. Buoyancy will become
   increasingly scant farther east into the Mid Atlantic. While a few
   storms remain possible into early Saturday, peak MUCAPE below 500
   J/kg suggests severe potential is very low.

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Major storm bust for those in the east. WAA wins out again. NAM nailed the warm layers and most discounted it. Expected heavy snow but snow turned into sleet and freezing rain fest. 
I have a friend that lives in Northern New Jersey. They were calling for 6 to 9 inches initially. They dropped it down to 2 to 5, as of now, and they have yet to see any snow. Just a lot of mixed precip so far.

Sent from my SM-S931U using Tapatalk


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12 hours ago, colonel717 said:

Major storm bust for those in the east. WAA wins out again. NAM nailed the warm layers and most discounted it. Expected heavy snow but snow turned into sleet and freezing rain fest. 

They got their 1/19/19 and I’m all for it.

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12 hours ago, TheClimateChanger said:

The SPC has expanded the Day 3 marginal risk for severe weather to include portions of the Pittsburgh region. Something to keep an eye out for on Sunday.

day3otlk_1930.gif

Now gone on the midday D2 update.

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