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Sunday afternoon 11/16/25 Minor impact OBS-Nowcasts for scattered gusts 45-55 MPH, mainly Noon-6P

wdrag

By wdrag,
in New York City Metro

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wdrag

wdrag

Posted
Posted

Not a major wind event, it still will have it's impacts- probably as the  third wind event in the past three weeks.

While many model gust tools do not forecast wind gusts above 45 MPH Sunday afternoon, the ECMWF gust tool does (seen on Pivotal) as do the soundings of the 00z/15 ECMWF and 06z/15 HRRR.  Presuming these scattered gusts in excess of 45 MPH occur, there would be isolated power outages in our NYC subforum from a few broken tree branches or wind knocking down a few dead trees. Plan on air travel impact-delays Sunday afternoon, and possibly needing a little extra time to arrive at destinations (isolated detours?). Afternoon football games in NYS/NJ may be impacted by wind gusts? 535A/15

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Stormlover74

Stormlover74

Posted
Posted

Mt Holly went with an advisory for all its counties

..WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts of 40 to 50 mph expected.

* WHERE...Portions of central, northern, and southern Delaware, central, northern, northwest, and southern New Jersey, and east central and southeast Pennsylvania.

* WHEN...From 10 AM to 7 PM EST Sunday.

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wdrag

wdrag

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Posted
1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said:

It’s interesting both Mt holly and Upton mention potential for gusts to 50 mph. But Upton decided an advisory wasn't warranted

Imo UPTON is conservative most of the time. Forecaster decision making and local office policy. Not sure how they verify. All I know. Writing it in an AFD doesn’t verify.  
 

Public product does. Warning Advisory verification does!  That’s what I and others rely upon. If the 10A reports are the only ones for our area today then they verified with those reports outliers. 

maintain safety vigilance in strong gusty areas next 12 hours
 

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wdrag

wdrag

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Had tree detours inf Sussex County of NW NJ returning from Costco Roxbury NJ,  SR15 Lafayette and CR637 Beemer Church Road in Wantage NJ around 1PM, probably fro branches-tree-wires down around 11A-Noon.

Max wind gust below...generally highest near the east slopes of the Appalachians. 

 

From roughly 1030A-130P, the following generally ASOS-AWOS platform max G reports in that time frame,.

KABE: Allentown, Lehigh Valley Intl Arpt, PA, United States [50kt, 26m/s]

 

KBAF: Westfield, Barnes Municipal Airport, MA, United States [40kt, 21m/s]

KBDR: Bridgeport, CT, United States [40kt, 21m/s]

KBFD: Bradford, Bradford Regional Airport, PA, United States [41kt, 21m/s]

KBGM: Binghamton, Binghamton Regional Airport, NY, United States [41kt, 21m/s]

KBKW: Beckley, Raleigh County Memorial Airport, WV, United States [40kt, 21m/s]

KBLF: Bluefield, Mercer County Airport, WV, United States [41kt, 21m/s]

KBUF: Buffalo, Greater Buffalo Intl Arpt, NY, United States [42kt, 22m/s]

KBWI: Baltimore, MD, United States [41kt, 21m/s]

KCDW: Caldwell, Essex County Airport, NJ, United States [41kt, 21m/s]

KCXY: Harrisburg, Capital City Airport, PA, United States [42kt, 22m/s]

KELM: Elmira, Elmira / Corning Regional Airport, NY, United States [41kt, 21m/s]

KESN: Easton / Newman Field, MD, United States [41kt, 21m/s]

KFIT: Fitchburg, Fitchburg Municipal Airport, MA, United States [40kt, 21m/s]

KFOK: Westhampton Beach, NY, United States [43kt, 22m/s]

KFRG: Farmingdale, Republic Airport, NY, United States [41kt, 21m/s]

KGAI: Montgomery, MD, United States [43kt, 22m/s]

KHPN: White Plains, NY, United States [43kt, 22m/s]

KIAD: Washington-Dulles Intl Arpt, VA, United States [41kt, 21m/s]

KIAG: Niagara Falls, NY, United States [43kt, 22m/s]

KILG: Wilmington, New Castle County Airport, DE, United States [42kt, 22m/s]

KIPT: Williamsport, PA, United States [45kt, 23m/s]

KLGA: New York, La Guardia Airport, NY, United States [41kt, 21m/s]

KLNS: Lancaster, Lancaster Airport, PA, United States [46kt, 24m/s]

KMDT: Harrisburg, Harrisburg Intl Arpt, PA, United States [47kt, 24m/s]

KMIV: Millville, Millville Municipal Airport, NJ, United States [42kt, 22m/s]

KMPO: Mount Pocono, PA, United States [45kt, 23m/s]

KMRB: Martinsburg, WV, United States [48kt, 25m/s]

KORH: Worcester, Worcester Regional Airport, MA, United States [40kt, 21m/s]

KPHL: Philadelphia, Philadelphia Intl Arpt, PA, United States [41kt, 21m/s]

KPNE: NE Philadelphia, PA, United States [41kt, 21m/s]

KPYM: Plymouth, MA, United States [40kt, 21m/s]

KRDG: Reading, Reading Regional Airport, PA, United States [46kt, 24m/s]

KRSP: Campd David, MD, United States [49kt, 25m/s]

KSWF: Newburgh / Stewart, NY, United States [40kt, 21m/s]

KTEB: Teterboro, Teterboro Airport, NJ, United States [40kt, 21m/s]

KTHV: York, York Airport, PA, United States [44kt, 23m/s]

KVAY: Mount Holly, NJ, United States [41kt, 21m/s]

KWRI: Mcguire AFB, NJ, United States [41kt, 21m/s]

KXLL: Allentown-Queen City, PA, United States [40kt, 21m/s]

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uofmiami

uofmiami

Posted
Posted 
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
212 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025

CTZ005-006-009-010-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-
170600-
/O.NEW.KOKX.WI.Y.0009.251116T1912Z-251117T0600Z/
Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Southern Fairfield-Southern
New Haven-Western Passaic-Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-
Eastern Bergen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern
Union-Orange-Putnam-Rockland-Northern Westchester-Southern
Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-Richmond (Staten Island)-
Kings (Brooklyn)-Northwest Suffolk-Northeast Suffolk-Southwest
Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk-Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-
Southern Queens-Southern Nassau-
212 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of southern Connecticut, northeast New Jersey,
  and southeast New York.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Monday.
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wdrag

wdrag

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Posted

Maybe so.  That does not explain downed trees in the interior  I sure hope you’re safe.  OKX issued an advisory.

 

I look at it the 10 meter ASOs gust as roughly crown height. Broken branch dead or not. causes problem. Crosswind gusts are unsafe for many aircraft. Delays etc.
 

Folks get unhappy with delays and then act irrationally. In Some cases. Impatience caused actions when plans are unexpectedly altered.

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STORMANLI

STORMANLI

Posted
Posted

In Astoria, around 2pm,both westbound lanes were blocked and yellow-taped off because of large branch that fell just before GCP entrance on Ditmars Boulevard.  This was "forcing" traffic to drive westbound in eastbound lanes. A bit scary.

KLGA gust to 42 kts- 48 mph.

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wdrag

wdrag

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Multitude of reports 40Kt plus since 1PM... note the 47KT at Newark and many 43-46 KT showing up from SNE to PANJ

KAGC: Pittsburgh, Allegheny County Airport, PA, United States [42kt, 22m/s]

KALB: Albany, Albany Intl Arpt, United States [43kt, 22m/s]

KBAF: Westfield, Barnes Municipal Airport, MA, United States [45kt, 23m/s]

KBDL: Windsor Locks, Bradley Intl Arpt, CT, United States [46kt, 24m/s]

KBDR: Bridgeport, CT, United States [46kt, 24m/s]

KBGM: Binghamton, Binghamton Regional Airport, NY, United States [44kt, 23m/s]

KBWI: Baltimore, MD, United States [41kt, 21m/s]

KCXY: Harrisburg, Capital City Airport, PA, United States [44kt, 23m/s]

KDYL: Doylestown, Doylestown Airport, PA, United States [40kt, 21m/s]

KELM: Elmira, Elmira / Corning Regional Airport, NY, United States [42kt, 22m/s]

KEWR: Newark, Newark Intl Arpt, NJ, United States [47kt, 24m/s]

KFIG: Clearfield, Clearfield-Lawrence Airport, PA, United States [40kt, 21m/s]

KFIT: Fitchburg, Fitchburg Municipal Airport, MA, United States [40kt, 21m/s]

KFOK: Westhampton Beach, NY, United States [43kt, 22m/s]

KFRG: Farmingdale, Republic Airport, NY, United States [41kt, 21m/s]

KHWV: Shirley, Brookhaven Airport, NY, United States [40kt, 21m/s]

KIAD: Washington-Dulles Intl Arpt, VA, United States [41kt, 21m/s]

KIPT: Williamsport, PA, United States [45kt, 23m/s]

KJFK: JFK Intl Arpt, NY, United States [46kt, 24m/s]

KLGA: New York, La Guardia Airport, NY, United States [43kt, 22m/s]

KLNS: Lancaster, Lancaster Airport, PA, United States [46kt, 24m/s]

KMDT: Harrisburg, Harrisburg Intl Arpt, PA, United States [48kt, 25m/s]

KMGJ: Montgomery, Orange County Airport, NY, United States [40kt, 21m/s]

KMIV: Millville, Millville Municipal Airport, NJ, United States [40kt, 21m/s]

KMPO: Mount Pocono, PA, United States [42kt, 22m/s]

KMRB: Martinsburg, WV, United States [40kt, 21m/s]

KMTN: Baltimore / Martin, MD, United States [45kt, 23m/s]

KMUI: Muir/Indiantown, PA, United States [42kt, 22m/s]

KORH: Worcester, Worcester Regional Airport, MA, United States [40kt, 21m/s]

KOWD: Norwood, Norwood Memorial Airport, MA, United States [40kt, 21m/s]

KPHL: Philadelphia, Philadelphia Intl Arpt, PA, United States [43kt, 22m/s]

KPNE: NE Philadelphia, PA, United States [43kt, 22m/s]

KPOU: Poughkeepsie, Dutchess County Airport, NY, United States [44kt, 23m/s]

KPYM: Plymouth, MA, United States [40kt, 21m/s]

KRDG: Reading, Reading Regional Airport, PA, United States [46kt, 24m/s]

KROA: Roanoke, Roanoke Regional Airport, VA, United States [42kt, 22m/s]

KRSP: Campd David, MD, United States [47kt, 24m/s]

KRVL: Reedsville / Mifflin, PA, United States [45kt, 23m/s]

KSWF: Newburgh / Stewart, NY, United States [40kt, 21m/s]

KTHV: York, York Airport, PA, United States [45kt, 23m/s]

KTTN: Trenton, Mercer County Airport, NJ, United States [40kt, 21m/s]

KVAY: Mount Holly, NJ, United States [42kt, 22m/s]

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