Sunday afternoon 11/16/25 Minor impact OBS-Nowcasts for scattered gusts 45-55 MPH, mainly Noon-6P

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Not a major wind event, it still will have it's impacts- probably as the  third wind event in the past three weeks.

While many model gust tools do not forecast wind gusts above 45 MPH Sunday afternoon, the ECMWF gust tool does (seen on Pivotal) as do the soundings of the 00z/15 ECMWF and 06z/15 HRRR.  Presuming these scattered gusts in excess of 45 MPH occur, there would be isolated power outages in our NYC subforum from a few broken tree branches or wind knocking down a few dead trees. Plan on air travel impact-delays Sunday afternoon, and possibly needing a little extra time to arrive at destinations (isolated detours?). Afternoon football games in NYS/NJ may be impacted by wind gusts? 535A/15

[Stormlover74]

Mt Holly went with an advisory for all its counties

..WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts of 40 to 50 mph expected.

* WHERE...Portions of central, northern, and southern Delaware, central, northern, northwest, and southern New Jersey, and east central and southeast Pennsylvania.

* WHEN...From 10 AM to 7 PM EST Sunday.

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First reports... JST had 43KT prior to 5A.

Here in the last 3 hours closer...

KMDT: Harrisburg, Harrisburg Intl Arpt, PA, United States [40kt, 21m/s]

KMPO: Mount Pocono, PA, United States [40kt, 21m/s]

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Power outage baseline is too high this morning with significant outages in Middlesex and Ulster counties. 

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KTEB and KLGA 40-41 KT past hour and many reports DCA/Philly and far S NJ 40-43 kt.  Post 1015 am

[Stormlover74]

Its interesting both Mt holly and Upton mention potential for gusts to 50 mph. But Upton decided an advisory wasn't warranted

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1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said:

It’s interesting both Mt holly and Upton mention potential for gusts to 50 mph. But Upton decided an advisory wasn't warranted

Imo UPTON is conservative most of the time. Forecaster decision making and local office policy. Not sure how they verify. All I know. Writing it in an AFD doesn’t verify.  
 

Public product does. Warning Advisory verification does!  That’s what I and others rely upon. If the 10A reports are the only ones for our area today then they verified with those reports outliers. 

maintain safety vigilance in strong gusty areas next 12 hours
 

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Allentown area significant power outage increase last hr in Northampton County. 

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Allentown now 40 kt. White Plains 43 knot  Mt Pocono 45 knot.  

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Power outages increasing nw NJ now

[donsutherland1]

So far, LaGuardia has had a 47 mph gust and Newark has had a 45 mph gust.

[psv88]

It’s breezy out there!

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Had tree detours inf Sussex County of NW NJ returning from Costco Roxbury NJ,  SR15 Lafayette and CR637 Beemer Church Road in Wantage NJ around 1PM, probably fro branches-tree-wires down around 11A-Noon.

Max wind gust below...generally highest near the east slopes of the Appalachians. 

 

From roughly 1030A-130P, the following generally ASOS-AWOS platform max G reports in that time frame,.

KABE: Allentown, Lehigh Valley Intl Arpt, PA, United States [50kt, 26m/s]

 

KBAF: Westfield, Barnes Municipal Airport, MA, United States [40kt, 21m/s]

KBDR: Bridgeport, CT, United States [40kt, 21m/s]

KBFD: Bradford, Bradford Regional Airport, PA, United States [41kt, 21m/s]

KBGM: Binghamton, Binghamton Regional Airport, NY, United States [41kt, 21m/s]

KBKW: Beckley, Raleigh County Memorial Airport, WV, United States [40kt, 21m/s]

KBLF: Bluefield, Mercer County Airport, WV, United States [41kt, 21m/s]

KBUF: Buffalo, Greater Buffalo Intl Arpt, NY, United States [42kt, 22m/s]

KBWI: Baltimore, MD, United States [41kt, 21m/s]

KCDW: Caldwell, Essex County Airport, NJ, United States [41kt, 21m/s]

KCXY: Harrisburg, Capital City Airport, PA, United States [42kt, 22m/s]

KELM: Elmira, Elmira / Corning Regional Airport, NY, United States [41kt, 21m/s]

KESN: Easton / Newman Field, MD, United States [41kt, 21m/s]

KFIT: Fitchburg, Fitchburg Municipal Airport, MA, United States [40kt, 21m/s]

KFOK: Westhampton Beach, NY, United States [43kt, 22m/s]

KFRG: Farmingdale, Republic Airport, NY, United States [41kt, 21m/s]

KGAI: Montgomery, MD, United States [43kt, 22m/s]

KHPN: White Plains, NY, United States [43kt, 22m/s]

KIAD: Washington-Dulles Intl Arpt, VA, United States [41kt, 21m/s]

KIAG: Niagara Falls, NY, United States [43kt, 22m/s]

KILG: Wilmington, New Castle County Airport, DE, United States [42kt, 22m/s]

KIPT: Williamsport, PA, United States [45kt, 23m/s]

KLGA: New York, La Guardia Airport, NY, United States [41kt, 21m/s]

KLNS: Lancaster, Lancaster Airport, PA, United States [46kt, 24m/s]

KMDT: Harrisburg, Harrisburg Intl Arpt, PA, United States [47kt, 24m/s]

KMIV: Millville, Millville Municipal Airport, NJ, United States [42kt, 22m/s]

KMPO: Mount Pocono, PA, United States [45kt, 23m/s]

KMRB: Martinsburg, WV, United States [48kt, 25m/s]

KORH: Worcester, Worcester Regional Airport, MA, United States [40kt, 21m/s]

KPHL: Philadelphia, Philadelphia Intl Arpt, PA, United States [41kt, 21m/s]

KPNE: NE Philadelphia, PA, United States [41kt, 21m/s]

KPYM: Plymouth, MA, United States [40kt, 21m/s]

KRDG: Reading, Reading Regional Airport, PA, United States [46kt, 24m/s]

KRSP: Campd David, MD, United States [49kt, 25m/s]

KSWF: Newburgh / Stewart, NY, United States [40kt, 21m/s]

KTEB: Teterboro, Teterboro Airport, NJ, United States [40kt, 21m/s]

KTHV: York, York Airport, PA, United States [44kt, 23m/s]

KVAY: Mount Holly, NJ, United States [41kt, 21m/s]

KWRI: Mcguire AFB, NJ, United States [41kt, 21m/s]

KXLL: Allentown-Queen City, PA, United States [40kt, 21m/s]

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• Power outages (meters) at 145PM. in NJ, mostly nw NJ. 
•  
• Pennsylvania12,497
• New Jersey10,874

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Max Gusts today in MPH per climate sites in NJ and NYS--please click for clarity.