MoWeatherguy Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago From what I can tell it looks like most models have seen a slight uptick in overall QPF at 0z. Good sign. That warm nose will be the wildcard for most of the Arkansas crowd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago The Euro/EPS really do seem to want to lay the smackdown on Oklahoma. 60-80% chance of a foot or more at 10:1 ratios on the 00z run. Reminder that the greatest snowfall in OKC's history is GHD 2011 with ~14", so we're talking easily in historic territory if most of this stays snow/avoiding dryslots/etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormdragonwx Posted 8 hours ago Author Share Posted 8 hours ago Now that we are in the final 24 hours, I have to step back and be objective here, I think the models don't handle the warm air layer well. I have a weird feeling the WAA might be stronger than indicated causing a lot of the snow to become sleet as I remember this happening with one of our big winter storms just last year after the models went nuts with 12+ beforehand. Likely this will be an issue during the first wave until the cold air layer deepens. Especially areas further south and east of US60 and I-35. Might be best to take these Kuchera totals and half them. With that being said the QPF is still holding steady if not increasing. Many may still see close to a foot of snow. Just my two cents. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rockchalk83 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Feels like Lucy pulled the football back on us in S KS overnight. We went from sharing in the big totals with you guys to the southeast, to having 6-8 inches. Hoping for a slight northward trend, but I think the models finally have a good grasp on the Arctic air and track of the second wave, so it probably won't happen. Bummer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Ole Bucket Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago The 12z long-range HRRR is a thing of beauty. Would pay big bucks for this to verify, unlikely as that is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RocketWX Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 3 hours ago, rockchalk83 said: Feels like Lucy pulled the football back on us in S KS overnight. We went from sharing in the big totals with you guys to the southeast, to having 6-8 inches. Hoping for a slight northward trend, but I think the models finally have a good grasp on the Arctic air and track of the second wave, so it probably won't happen. Bummer. This was my concern for us. Getting in on the first wave but missing the second. Needed both to get the big totals. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Hard to be upset about this a handful of hours before it starts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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