MO/KS/AR/OK 2025-2026 Winter Discussion

[StormChazer]

GFS uncooperative, but considered an outlier for the time being, especially given how it has handled this storm so far,.

[rockchalk83]

The GFS has been trash with this. It's inconsistent within itself and its ensembles.

[NWAflizzard]

Looks like the GFS kicks out the Baja low. 

[StormChazer]

GFS bows to King Euro again. Although it's not the totals we want to see for us, it's more important that the trend was to fall more in line with the Canadian and Euro and it's no longer out to sea. Now lets hope this massages northward.

 

Here is the 0Z Canadian as well.

 

 

[StormChazer]

The Euro Speaks.

Interesting setup this run though, the storm comes in 2 distinct waves of precip.

The 1st is roughly Fri night through Sat evening, then a break and a second wave overnight Saturday night into Sunday morning.

[ouamber]

Wow! The Euro has some crazy convective bands showing up! I wonder if someone in our area will get thundersnow! This looks like a pretty long event!

[stormdragonwx]

Yeah its definitely a setup we haven't really seen in quite some time with several potentially convective waves of winter precip. We will have to see if the pattern holds as we get closer. Still got 4 days. Trying to temper my expectations. lol and I don't want this morphing into a big ice storm. We are in peak climatology for those.