2025-2026 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread

[Met1985]

47 minutes ago, Maggie Valley Steve said:

The 12Z NAM suggests several inches of snow with multiple rounds beginning Saturday night into Monday morning. That model suggests that Asheville could pickup an inch or so.

So you have the NAM coming into place with the gfs.

[Buckethead]

So you have the NAM coming into place with the gfs.

And the Canadian.

Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk

[Met1985]

The gfs has been rock steady.

Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

[Met1985]

Maybe the Euro is coming around a bit?

Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

[Maggie Valley Steve]

GSP in their afternoon disco mentioned a solid Winter Weather Advisory event for lower mountain elevations and Winter Storm Warning possible above 3500 ft.

[wncsnow]

Got some cool lenticular clouds developing in Buncombe

[Met1985]

11 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

Got some cool lenticular clouds developing in Buncombe

Yeah no kidding for sure.

[Met1985]

1 hour ago, Maggie Valley Steve said:

GSP in their afternoon disco mentioned a solid Winter Weather Advisory event for lower mountain elevations and Winter Storm Warning possible above 3500 ft.

I think that's a great call.

[Met1985]

Say what you will but the GFS has not wavered in days with this event.

Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

[Met1985]

NAM is another solid hit.

Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

[Buckethead]

Here's a few maps GSP issued for posterity.

Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk

[Met1985]

Flow snow looking great still and we got some good beneficial rain this morning. 

[Met1985]

Also to note while we get this snow and cold blast all the indicies are in the wrong place. NAO positive,  AO positive, and PNA negative... Just means when it flips next month we are in for it.

[Tacoma]

any snow for Asheville, 

 

[ncjoaquin]

12 minutes ago, Tacoma said:

any snow for Asheville, 

 

1/2 inch to an inch seems possible. Maybe more if you luck up and end up under a heavier snow shower.  

[Met1985]

13 minutes ago, Tacoma said:

any snow for Asheville, 

 

Possibly north Asheville but depends on the trajectory of the flow and the forcing. 

[Met1985]

12z NAM looks good. Absolutely hammers from the coast of around Delaware to New England. I've got a friend who lives in Delaware ill get pictures and obs from.

Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

[BooneWX]

This was a major win for the gfs. One of the most notable wins it’s had in as long as I can remember.

[Met1985]

1 minute ago, BooneWX said:

This was a major win for the gfs. One of the most notable wins it’s had in as long as I can remember.

Yeah no kidding and people won't give it props. 

[ncjoaquin]

To add to the above for Asheville, NWS has an official forecast of 0, with a high end of 2 inches. 

 

 

[Met1985]

12z gfs steady as can be. Some wavering here and there but that's to be expected.

Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk