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Central PA Summer 2025


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8.7 magnitude earthquake off Kamchatka peninsula in Russia. Strongest earthquake on Earth since 2011 Japan quake. 

 

Tsunami is confirmed. 

 

Edit: 8.8 magnitude earthquake. 3-12 feet waves possible in Hawai'i. Three to five feet possible in US West Coast. 

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55 minutes ago, WmsptWx said:

8.7 magnitude earthquake off Kamchatka peninsula in Russia. Strongest earthquake on Earth since 2011 Japan quake. 

 

Tsunami is confirmed. 

 

Edit: 8.8 magnitude earthquake. 3-12 feet waves possible in Hawai'i. Three to five feet possible in US West Coast. 

Yeah pretty wild. Hopefully the advanced warning will allow everyone out there to get safely inland. 

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2 hours ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

So it appears the Hawaii warnings were downgraded and minimal damage reported. Good news. Tomorrow’s dew points look like they could be the worst of the week, with relief not arriving until the overnight hours. We’ll see what tricks the storms pull. 

This sounds sorta ominous:
 

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
*Elevated risk of excessive rain with some higher end flooding
 impacts possible across east-central/southeastern PA Thursday

SFC-850mb low pressure is progged to move along the southward
sinking frontal zone which continues to trend slower with its
equatorward progression. There also appears to be some enhanced
large scale lift to support +RA in the form of height falls and
right entrance region (RER) upper jet dynamics. High/efficient
rain rates within low topped warm rain convection combined with
ample deep layer moisture /1.5-2+" pwats/ will continue to
support an increasingly elevated excessive rain/flash flood risk
particularly across the southeastern portions of the area.

Some model guidance is also showing an inverted trough axis on
the NW side of the low track the could be a fulcrum point for
heavy rain. WPC (along with neighboring offices LWX/PHI/BGM)
discussed the possibility of upgrading the D2 ERO to a moderate
risk for eastern PA with this cycle, but given lingering QPF
detail uncertainty we decided to collectively stick with an
"enhanced" level 2 (out of 4) risk area for now. We will
continue to highlight the heavy/excessive rain and potential
significant flood threat in the HWO and IDSS partner briefings.
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Today should be our last 90-degree day for at least the next 10 or so days. We will see rain chances ramping up tomorrow afternoon into the evening with a cold front. We could see at least an inch of rain in many spots across the area with showers lasting until Friday. On Friday night we see some autumn like weather arrive for the weekend. Highs mostly in the 70's with lows in the 50's. Below normal temperatures look to continue through much of next week.

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1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said:

This sounds sorta ominous:
 

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
*Elevated risk of excessive rain with some higher end flooding
 impacts possible across east-central/southeastern PA Thursday

SFC-850mb low pressure is progged to move along the southward
sinking frontal zone which continues to trend slower with its
equatorward progression. There also appears to be some enhanced
large scale lift to support +RA in the form of height falls and
right entrance region (RER) upper jet dynamics. High/efficient
rain rates within low topped warm rain convection combined with
ample deep layer moisture /1.5-2+" pwats/ will continue to
support an increasingly elevated excessive rain/flash flood risk
particularly across the southeastern portions of the area.

Some model guidance is also showing an inverted trough axis on
the NW side of the low track the could be a fulcrum point for
heavy rain. WPC (along with neighboring offices LWX/PHI/BGM)
discussed the possibility of upgrading the D2 ERO to a moderate
risk for eastern PA with this cycle, but given lingering QPF
detail uncertainty we decided to collectively stick with an
"enhanced" level 2 (out of 4) risk area for now. We will
continue to highlight the heavy/excessive rain and potential
significant flood threat in the HWO and IDSS partner briefings.

It certainly does.  There could definitely be some select spots that see torrential slow-moving rains tomorrow.  Hope it's not us. 

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