Spring 2025 Med/Long Range Discussion

[John1122]

Very divergent pattern on the GFS op vs the GEFS in the 8-15 range. The GEFS is generally AN for the area with AN precip. The 0z GFS is wet and way BN temp wise for the same period. 

[John1122]

The rain showers have hit again today and tonight. It's hard to get super hot when we have plenty of soil moisture.  Hopefully we keep piling on rain the next 4 or 5 days like forecast. It should help blunt the heat next week. 

[John1122]

Another heavy rainer moving over. It thundered for 45 minutes, then stopped when it started raining. Now we've had 3 rounds of heavy rain without thunder. Looks like it's training along the Plateau from Crossville to here and over towards NE TN and SW Va. 

[Daniel Boone]

15 hours ago, John1122 said:

Another heavy rainer moving over. It thundered for 45 minutes, then stopped when it started raining. Now we've had 3 rounds of heavy rain without thunder. Looks like it's training along the Plateau from Crossville to here and over towards NE TN and SW Va. 

Recorded just under 2 inches here last night. Portions of the Area received 2-3 inches.

[dwagner88]

I still can't catch a break here. This should be the wettest month of the year. We average over 6" in July. Halfway through and I'm at 0.77. And all but 2 days have been 90+ so what little rain we got vaporized quickly.

[John1122]

Ironically the last two days we've been under a flood watch with an 80 percent chance of rain and it's hardly rained at all.