2025-2026 ENSO

[LibertyBell]

24 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

You need to parse through analog seasons and determine what value there is to be gleaned from each, and then how to apply it to your forecast.

yes and weighing them relative to each other is also important (as is sometimes applying them to one part of the season vs another.)

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2025/06/strong-consensus-for-marginal-la-nina.html

[Stormchaserchuck1]

Nice write-up Ray. I like how you touched on the PNA and PDO and how we are still riding hard in the negative phase of them. There are actually a lot of similarities to last Winter this year.. last Winter the strong -PDO didn't really correlate.. should be interesting to see what happens this year with near similar PDO, ENSO, and still an active sun.