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May Medium/ Long Range Outlook


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I can see a warm Winter easily verifying. We need a major -EPO to break through, and right now there are no signs of that in the global pattern evolution: it's a little more stagnant, allowing things like the -PDO to impact, and that has a slight +epo correlation. 

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20 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

No one is paying attention or cares since it is rain, but EURO caved to GFS and is now wet Saturday.WB 12Z EURO compared to yesterday.

IMG_3519.png

IMG_3520.png

Yeah, the Euro was late to the dreary Saturday party.  As of the 00z run it had clouds but still nearing 70.

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2 hours ago, MN Transplant said:

Yeah, the Euro was late to the dreary Saturday party.  As of the 00z run it had clouds but still nearing 70.

Last saturday was cold and wet for softball and looking like the same this saturday. Wish our precip would line up with weekdays!

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Kind of odd that we are getting this cold over the next few days with +EPO

(correlation is opposite). https://ibb.co/TtxMtMj

Fits my theory that we are getting more cold with +NAO's these days than -NAO's. For the upper latitude pattern, cold air seems to be going more N->S, than W->E. This has been the case since 2013, and more so since 2019. 

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