mitchnick Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 21 minutes ago, mitchnick said: This stuff should make it to the ground once it gets to us. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=JKL-N0B-1-24-100-usa-rad 18z Euro has that area of snow in Ky showing up on its 6hr map. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=prateptype_cat_ecmwf-imp&rh=2024011818&fh=3&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Euro near identical to 12z thru 15 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 18 Author Share Posted January 18 1 hour ago, mitchnick said: Nws added to tomorrow's forecast that snow could be heavy at times. Now I'm special. They did that for Tamaqua as well, so you're not THAT special... Beyond that, it was 74 here at the Sun City abode. I must be nuts for wanting to come back home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 NBM member in good standing, the Rap looks quite decent for tomorrow. More healthy totals than some of the 18Z models showed. Snow ending when this snap taken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Just now, mitchnick said: Euro/Rap rule. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 7 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Euro/Rap rule. Eurrap 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 18z Euro improved a bit for many in the LSV. 18z top 12z bottom 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 18Z Euro is nice. Should be a fun day tomorrow. I wonder if some of us end up with more tomorrow then we had on Tuesday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Flizzard here in HBG 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 12 minutes ago, GrandmasterB said: 18Z Euro is nice. Should be a fun day tomorrow. I wonder if some of us end up with more tomorrow then we had on Tuesday. Possible! Heck, like @Itstrainingtime mentioned, Williamsport got 5 inches on Tuesday when they were supposed to be on the northern edge of the lighter Advisory for northern CTP. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 CTP has this on their website. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said: CTP has this on their website. 4-6” sounds like JB and DT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Great write up from CTP this evening. The energy diving southeast from the Upper Plains which will make the snow will soon expand and intensify the precip shield over the OH valley. I think it a rather beefy Clipper that taps some GOMEX and Atlantic mstr as it moves toward and across PA. A progressive low track across the Mid-Atlantic just S of PA is classic for light-moderate snowfalls here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 More from the CTP discussion: There could be 1-2 more-consistent, heavier bands of snow, though. One should/likely be a W-E band parallel to the storm track but 100 or so miles north of it, perhaps running somewhere just S of UNV but N of the Turnpike. Much of the forcing is gone by 21Z with another deformation zone and associated snow band possible for the SE as the sfc low starts to deepen as it moves out to sea. A band like this (later in the storm) would likely pivot more NE-SW and affect a wider land area than a W-E band would. The latest guidance infuses more confidence in these slightly higher numbers. Still a bit of spread in storm total QPF from the ensembles, but a 0.25 mean across the SE and 15-18:1 SLR for the afternoon should get them above 3", esp on the hill tops. SLRs remain higher than 15:1 across the region with 20:1 values likely in the NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 My goal for this storm for MDT is for them to get 3.6 tomorrow to get to an even 10 inches for the season to date. This would make them basically even with the average snow through tomorrow’s date for the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 The 0Z HRRR is going to be 1-3" LSV with maybe some areas a littler over 3....higher totals well to our south. FWIW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 7 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The 0Z HRRR is going to be 1-3" LSV with maybe some areas a littler over 3....higher totals well to our south. FWIW. Looks the same to me but what do I know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Just now, paweather said: Looks the same to me but what do I know. It lowered south PA a bit. Did get a few spots closer to 3.5. Big difference is to our south where it is 5-6". But for us not a big change. Maybe 2-4 is a better than 1-3 as a statement for the Lsv. A little extra snow at the end. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 My prediction is still limited pavement accumulations, main roads stay clear. It’ll be a nice snow globe so all good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 so between 3 local news channels I have had 2-3 1-2 and 3-6 lol so bet on 1-6 inchs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: It lowered south PA a bit. Did get a few spots closer to 3.5. Big difference is to our south where it is 5-6". But for us not a big change. Maybe 2-4 is a better than 1-3 as a statement for the Lsv. A little extra snow at the end. Yeah, Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 1 minute ago, canderson said: My prediction is still limited pavement accumulations, main roads stay clear. It’ll be a nice snow globe so all good. with temps being so cold lately why do you feel that way? salt and chemicals still on the roadways? not heavy enough to lay on roads? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 1 minute ago, Ruin said: so between 3 local news channels I have had 2-3 1-2 and 3-6 lol so bet on 1-6 inchs Good range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Bubbler, Srefs love us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 5 minutes ago, Ruin said: with temps being so cold lately why do you feel that way? salt and chemicals still on the roadways? not heavy enough to lay on roads? Light snow, treated roads and margins temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 16 minutes ago, paweather said: Looks the same to me but what do I know. Yes, pretty much a hold on 0z HRRR for the LSV vs. 18z. This 0z run actually has a little more snow for Harrisburg & Lancaster than 18z. 0z top 18z bottom 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 10 minutes ago, canderson said: My prediction is still limited pavement accumulations, main roads stay clear. It’ll be a nice snow globe so all good. Remember your photo of your snow covered ride on Front St. on Tuesday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 3-5 on my point and click. Is that new?? NWS being aggressive which is unusual. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 7 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Remember your photo of your snow covered ride on Front St. on Tuesday? Yup, it was a beautiful morning! Tmrw will be too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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