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2022-2023 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread


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On 9/19/2022 at 1:43 PM, wncsnow said:

Not anytime soon, could be weeks until significant rain. 

Keeping a keen eye on the tropics. The models seem to be converging on a solution that could bring heavy rainfall with gusty winds for our area later next week. 

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We had two rounds of showers move through the past hour with some gusty winds, but the actual front appears to be crossing Eastern Tennessee right now heading towards the Smokies. Shouldn't be too long before the drier air arrives and the temperature begins to drop. 

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2 hours ago, Maggie Ace said:

We had two rounds of showers move through the past hour with some gusty winds, but the actual front appears to be crossing Eastern Tennessee right now heading towards the Smokies. Shouldn't be too long before the drier air arrives and the temperature begins to drop. 

Yeah same here and I spoke too soon. The wind has really picked up and the temps are crashing. Down to 67 already. 

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Just now, Buckethead said:

Already down to 56 at 4400 in Wolf. And I noticed today that more than half if the trees above 4500 are transitioning to fall colors now. Pics tomorrow.

Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk
 

Yeah we are starting to see a lot more color at this elevation as well. Was noticing that today while watching a lot of leaves coming down with these winds. I am at work so not sure on the temp but this is a picture perfect evening.  

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Yeah we are starting to see a lot more color at this elevation as well. Was noticing that today while watching a lot of leaves coming down with these winds. I am at work so not sure on the temp but this is a picture perfect evening.  
Down to 53.6/48 now and steadily dropping...hello fall!

Here's a screenshot from my dash cam today around 4200' in Wolf. Better pics tomorrow.

Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk



81fa3283e069b514c4353718cbe98563.jpg
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It's turned out to be a nice evening after clouds and spits of rain most of the day. It's looking like we get a stronger cold front Monday night into Tuesday. Concern growing that we will have to deal with whatever is left of Ian Thursday night into Friday. Fingers crossed that the winds aren't too strong and we can escape the heavier rains. Hate to see leaf season ruined. 

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Storm rolled through at my place while I was in Waynesville, could see it lightning while I was driving home.  Was greeted to this tree being down and the transformer flashing about 1/4 mile below the house, had to cut it out of the road with a machete since I didn’t feel like walking up to get my saw.

 

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The Euro has been very consistent in taking the low of Ian right around us or right over us for several runs now but still tropical systems are a completely different beast to predict.  


Yeah I'm concerned about the potential flood risk. We'll see how it evolves though.

Verbatim the Euro is a widespread 4-6" for most of the SW facing slopes (particularly bad for the SW mountains) and the GFS is widespread 2-4". Those are concerning totals from low-res globals at this range.



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