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Upstate/Eastern New York-Springtime?


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It is worth noting that
there are signals indicating a significant warmup to close out the
first week of August as a strong 590-595dam H500 ridge expands
across the central and eastern CONUS. As of this forecast update,
the Climate Prediction Center still has much of the Great Lakes
region under a moderate risk for excessive heat from 8/3-8/6.

hazards_d8_14_contours.png

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25 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said:

Looks like a legit tornado on the ground in Wyoming county. You can see debris in the air on the radar apps. Crazy gate to gate shear too. Seems like a long track for around here. 

Yep. We've been talking about it in discord. 100% a tornado on the ground and likely a decent one. 

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JUNE TEMPS
BUF: -0.2
ROC: -0.2
WAT: 0.0
SYR: -1.1
BING: -0.8

JULY TEMPS
BUF: +0.7
ROC: -0.2
WAT: +0.8
SYR: +2.3
BING: +1.5

Average Summer Temps so far:
BUF: +0.5
ROC: -0.4
WAT: +0.8
SYR: +1.2
BING: +0.7

So far this summer looks pretty close to normal. We will see what August brings but everyone is above normal besides KROC with their suspect instrument as everyone else in NYS is above for June/July. 

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8 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said:

JUNE TEMPS
BUF: -0.2
ROC: -0.2
WAT: 0.0
SYR: -1.1
BING: -0.8

JULY TEMPS
BUF: +0.7
ROC: -0.2
WAT: +0.8
SYR: +2.3
BING: +1.5

Average Summer Temps so far:
BUF: +0.5
ROC: -0.4
WAT: +0.8
SYR: +1.2
BING: +0.7

So far this summer looks pretty close to normal. We will see what August brings but everyone is above normal besides KROC with their suspect instrument as everyone else in NYS is above for June/July. 

I'd argue that, in light of the new normal, it's really a below average summer. It's 33rd out of 149 years overall, so easily in the top quartile for warmest June 1 to July 31st periods. However, since 2010, only four years have been cooler at BUF - 2013, 2014, 2015, and 2017. Seven have been warmer - 2010, 2011, 2012, 2016, 2018, 2020, and 2021, and one (2019) has been the same. Since 2005, a similar story, with only 6 cooler years (2007, 2009, and the four listed above) versus 10 warmer and one equal year. And 2007 was only a tenth of a degree cooler than this year for the same period. Only 2009 had a mean temperature in the bottom half of all years.

 

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1 hour ago, TheClimateChanger said:

I'd argue that, in light of the new normal, it's really a below average summer. It's 33rd out of 149 years overall, so easily in the top quartile for warmest June 1 to July 31st periods. However, since 2010, only four years have been cooler at BUF - 2013, 2014, 2015, and 2017. Seven have been warmer - 2010, 2011, 2012, 2016, 2018, 2020, and 2021, and one (2019) has been the same. Since 2005, a similar story, with only 6 cooler years (2007, 2009, and the four listed above) versus 10 warmer and one equal year. And 2007 was only a tenth of a degree cooler than this year for the same period. Only 2009 had a mean temperature in the bottom half of all years.

 

Great data! Where abouts are you located at?

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