Bubbler86 Posted December 22, 2021 Author Share Posted December 22, 2021 1 minute ago, paweather said: Can you get me a DAK one? I had one ordered but when the Fedex driver stopped by, he threw it toward me and it was high and my neighbor intercepted it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I had one ordered but when the Fedex driver stopped by, he threw it toward me and it was high and my neighbor intercepted it. HAHA!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 22, 2021 Author Share Posted December 22, 2021 1 minute ago, paweather said: HAHA!!!! Soon time for your HH GFS PBP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Soon time for your HH GFS PBP. Yeah can't wait to be frustrated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 22, 2021 Author Share Posted December 22, 2021 1 hour ago, paweather said: Yeah can't wait to be frustrated. 18z is pretty rainy turnpike and north Christmas day. Low 60's where its not raining. Upper 50's where it is. No winter weather the rest of the year. Threat of 70 Jan 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 5 hours ago, TimB84 said: I’d still classify the long range part of this GFS as “good”. I would take this 12z GFS storm on January 3rd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 3 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Decent N to NNW low level chilly feed late Sunday into Monday morning courtesy of a high north of the lakes trying to nose in ahead of the Monday system. Should have a good chance at getting near or below freezing ahead of potential front end early Monday am ( good timing ). I'm Definitely not looking past it yet especially with nothing else on the horizon. HH Gefs has trended baby bumps cooler past few runs . Ensembles and occasionally op runs have been hinting at the possibility Monday for days but not a solid signal ofc. Yes, the 18z GFS has it for the 27th, but this run it runs out of steam east of the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 5 hours ago, Bubbler86 said: Your grass is growing as you type! Lol… But I thought we were in a another terrible drought….dead grass for years… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 22, 2021 Author Share Posted December 22, 2021 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: Lol… But I thought we were in a another terrible drought….dead grass for years… Blizz, I thought you must have blocked me. Glad to see you reply to one of my posts. My grass did die in the front (previous summer) and my home insurance paid to have that part of my yard re-sodded, but I think Training has been doing quite well in this department. He has a shot to mow in January! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 5 hours ago, Bubbler86 said: Yea, I added on to my post stating that the ridge was not nearly as pushy vs. now. And that weenies want to see the 396 map. Yes, I would have liked to see the 12z GFS 396 map… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Yes, I would have liked to see the 22z GFS 396 map… Don't look at 18z gfs in the long range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Blizz, I thought you must have blocked me. Glad to see you reply to one of my posts. My grass did die in the front (previous summer) and my home insurance paid to have that part of my yard re-sodded, but I think Training has been doing quite well in this department. He has a shot to mow in January! Lol, I don’t block anyone! I’m off from now until Monday am, so lots of time for posting unless Christmas stuff is going on at the time. Hopefully we get above normal precip in feet of snow from January to March! You will be mowing twice a week this Spring! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 22, 2021 Author Share Posted December 22, 2021 2 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Lol, I don’t block anyone! I’m off from now until Monday am, so lots of time for posting unless Christmas stuff is going on at the time. Hopefully we get above normal precip in feet of snow from January to March! You will be mowing twice a week this Spring! That is probably right. From April to late May, its a mow fest in the 'Ville. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 22, 2021 Author Share Posted December 22, 2021 6 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Don't look at 18z gfs in the long range I did because you told me not to. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 8 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I did because you told me not to. I looked too and I have a difficult time believing that a 1040 High in Quebec would be dislodged so easily to allow a low to cut so far west. We would probably get a solid front end thump of snow to ice with that look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 The GFS the last few runs in the first week of January looks active with chances of Winter weather. We just need to get the timing right with one of these cold Highs in Canada to force at least some front end chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 23, 2021 Share Posted December 23, 2021 43 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: One of the better Gefs runs that's not in uber fantasy ( inside day 10 ish ) . We can definitely score something here . Gefs looks good early January. Op has a ridge in the east at the same time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 23, 2021 Share Posted December 23, 2021 51 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Gefs looks good early January. Op has a ridge in the east at the same time. Guess who wins but hopefully not 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 23, 2021 Share Posted December 23, 2021 4 minutes ago, paweather said: Guess who wins but hopefully not Come on Blizz! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 23, 2021 Share Posted December 23, 2021 The Euro, Canadian & GEFS today each had a noticeable jump in snow totals for their 15 & 16 day totals. The “blue” on the map made a nice push south in week 2. These are just tools that I use for trend purposes in the Winter. If this trend continues to build, we could be in the snow business during the first week of January. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted December 23, 2021 Share Posted December 23, 2021 2 hours ago, MJO812 said: Don't look at 18z gfs in the long range Yeah, can’t we go consecutive effing GFS runs without getting 50s and 60s every 3rd day in January? This is getting so old. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 23, 2021 Share Posted December 23, 2021 1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The Euro, Canadian & GEFS today each had a noticeable jump in snow totals for their 15 & 16 day totals. The “blue” on the map made a nice push south in week 2. These are just tools that I use for trend purposes in the Winter. If this trend continues to build, we could be in the snow business during the first week of January. It’s good to see the “blue” extending south towards DC into northern VA on the CMC ensembles & the GEFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 23, 2021 Share Posted December 23, 2021 The Euro Control run was nice to see at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 23, 2021 Share Posted December 23, 2021 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: The Euro Control run was nice to see at 12z. I like seeing good snow over CTP plus another area of heavier snow over central VA to the south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted December 23, 2021 Share Posted December 23, 2021 The only trend I've noticed is these maps go away after day 7. Wake me up when they're on a five day forecast lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 23, 2021 Share Posted December 23, 2021 4 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: I like seeing good snow over CTP plus another area of heavier snow over central VA to the south. Make it happen! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 23, 2021 Share Posted December 23, 2021 2 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: The only trend I've noticed is these maps go away after day 7. Wake me up when they're on a five day forecast lol Just looking at a positive trend today on all 3 ensembles for the first week of January. Let’s see which way they trend over the next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 23, 2021 Share Posted December 23, 2021 Just now, losetoa6 said: Long range HRRRRRRRRR likes i80 on north for a few bursts of snow Looks like it’s heading towards Tamaqua! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted December 23, 2021 Share Posted December 23, 2021 I don’t think it’s a good idea to look at snow maps for over ten days away. It’s setting us up for disappointment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 23, 2021 Share Posted December 23, 2021 Just now, anotherman said: I don’t think it’s a good idea to look at snow maps for over ten days away. It’s setting us up for disappointment. I thought that I used all of the disclaimers that I could possibly state… Heaven forbid we have a nice looking trend… Maybe they disappoint or maybe not…. Possibilities…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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