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Central PA - Fall 2021


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9 hours ago, TimB84 said:

18z GFS gets a bit toasty late in the run again. In better news, October will be within view on the GFS by morning.

Throrugh 330,  6Z GFS is a hodge podge of slightly below to slightly above normal.  Nothing extreme. Bad news for the gun jumpers who thought Sept was a heat wave from this point forward but not great fall weather.

 

63 here this AM. Good thing the HIA has not worked its way over here. 

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7 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Throrugh 330,  6Z GFS is a hodge podge of slightly below to slightly above normal.  Nothing extreme. Bad news for the gun jumpers who thought Sept was a heat wave from this point forward but not great fall weather.

 

63 here this AM. Good thing the HIA has not worked its way over here. 

The last couple days of that run do look spectacular. Lock it in.

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10 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Let's hope Goofus has this one right.  Euro concurs for how far out it goes.  Euro is one giant 61-81 fest.  Every day for several days. 

The end is in sight. CMC does something different and rebuilds the ridge in that timeframe after a less decisive frontal passage and retrograding trough.

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1 minute ago, TimB84 said:

Even the remaining “heat” over the next week could probably be more accurately described as “warmth”, save for maybe a day here or there.

We have a great shot at a second consecutive Sept with no 90 degree days if MDT holds off today.   Most Sept's have had 90 degree days when I parsed back about 20 years. 

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10 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Its only a model discussion so no promises. But at least it is factual based on current data. 

You know that i know, that you know that i know that its just that...discussion.  I hold noone to anything when it comes to weather.  

(Ralph Kramden from honeymooners for you old ones like me....)

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