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Major LES Events- Feb 5-?


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2 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said:

Looks like shes gonna go shoreline hugger.  Just like the models were showing... ughh not having a good feeling on this... what’s that little burst sliding north?

 

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All kinds of issues. Extreme now casting event. Only bright spot as Lake Michigan is still going very strong. 

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6 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said:

ok now I’m nervous... Screen grabbed these yesterday so they are 36 hours out.  Compare current radar at 9:30 to the runs noted from 2 and 7 for 9 and 10 tonight.  Pretty spot on if you ask me!

 

 

EB31965A-71A7-4B11-8134-98E5A571CA4F.jpeg

0C2FAA65-BB23-48EB-80BC-E2C947A99C47.jpeg

9CEBEC14-3963-45F9-B2DC-7162E1518AAF.jpeg

That’s impressive modeling, so the dual band structure will be correct???

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That wind really gonna blow huh lol

3k has like a foot into redfield from the Erie band/upslope haha Even 6" here ..

Hrrr has nada Imby..

ArW has several inches with more in the tug(obviously)..

The rest of of SR guidance an inch or two..

Looks like Kroc will get into it a little..

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4 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

The primary band is going to be the southern one. 

I’m thinking northern band fires back up in next 2 hours then around midnight slides south, merges with the southern band and camps out Hamburg to East Aurora overnight.  It starts sliding north towards morning and as winds ease up we get a more solid band that will be more efficient in dumping.  Slides north to the city and dies out mid afternoon. 

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