wolfie09 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 9 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: That was a wonky 18z run...almost looked like a 2 part storm 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 1 hour ago, Thinksnow18 said: The longer the primary stays the more snow we get simple as that. Mixing becomes a concern for BUF and ROC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 How much you get today dave? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 7 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Mixing becomes a concern for BUF and ROC Maybe. I think the confluence will slow its progression 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 As of right now Thursday/Friday system looks messy according to the GEFS.. Obviously plenty of time for change.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Nws tends to be a little to warm on these clear nights, light wind, north wind, fresh snowpack nights...At least in Altmar lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 18z EPS for early week storm. Slight up tick in precip from 12z for finger lakes and south shore fwiw... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Whats it show for weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 19 minutes ago, tim123 said: Whats it show for weekend? Not much. 18z EPS and esp the 18z Euro both took a dump for the weekend storm compared to 12z precip. Hopefully just an off hour hiccup. Euro precip and kuchera... EPS precip mean... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Looks like the 0z NAM taking a dump on the weekend storm too. At this point this weak sauce just needs to get out of the way for the early week storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Yeah NAM not to impressive..1"-3" it is lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 LR NAM with some overrunning precipitation well ahead of the low.. Fwiw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Icon has a little overrunning before the main precipitation shield. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Thats one massive precip shield. Nova scotia to Wisconsin 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 So I’d like to say I’m confident regarding the Tuesday system but I’m beginning to lose faith. Remember the Saturday night storm? A week ago it was a doozy...now it’s a 1-3” light snow. I’m beginning to see the same trend for the Tuesday storm. Models again look to be lessening the strength with each run and I’m concerned it’s a trend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Icon looks really confused for late week storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Overrunning looking a little better.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Just hit 0 here. It’s going to be one of the coldest nights this winter. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 7 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Overrunning looking a little better.. That overrunning never hits KBUF! And the follow up looks much better in CNY...I’m starting to channel my inner Matt... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 12, 2021 Author Share Posted February 12, 2021 2nd storm going to cut, already 1 mb stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 8 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Nice hit. Little bit better than 18z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 3 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: 2nd storm going to cut, already 1 mb stronger. Stronger HP over Quebec. Only hope 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Pretty much same as 18z. Could be close. It’ll be 250 miles from our current thinking. I’m hoping SE. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 12, 2021 Author Share Posted February 12, 2021 I would take an ice storm over a snowstorm. Its been far too long since we've had one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Not buying the cut still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Canadian 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 GGEM was east for the following system, still plenty of mixed precipitation but all frozen for North Central NY verbatim... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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