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josh_4184

2020-2021 LES Thread

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Potentially looking at our first decent LES event of the season beginning tomorrow night through the holiday weekend. Certainly not the best setup for NWL and the UP but the bar has been set low. SWL is looking decent as well. Does not appear we have had a dedicated LES thread in a couple years, obviously we do not have a lot of members in the LES belts but thought I would start one again anyway.

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Once the Christmas season has passed I would love to do a lake effect snow chase. I plan to  take lots of walks in the snow throughout winter as well as a trip north in Feb. But chasing some Lake effect would really be fun and something I've never done. Between working from home and not being able to do much with this damn pandemic, great year to do it.

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2 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Thanks Josh, was wondering when this thread was coming. This year has been brutal but we look to have our first real LES event here in WNY. First call from KBUF.

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I'm betting somewhere in your neck of the woods and in the Tug see's over 2'+

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My family now has a place between Baldwin and Ludington, right on the Pere Marquette. So I’m definitely more into LES on the west side of the state now than I was before. Looks like this will put a decent bit of snow up there

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On 12/22/2020 at 12:10 PM, josh_4184 said:

I'm betting somewhere in your neck of the woods and in the Tug see's over 2'+

I’m contemplating making my first les chase for this one.I live in Philly. Deciding tonight with the holidays and all

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21 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said:

What would be some good spots if I were to go (Buffalo region) 

The jackpot looks to be right where I live currently Hamburg, NY. Lots of places to stay here. We are a large town with over 60k people. (lots of hotels) You can stay right near exit 57 on the I90 NYS thruway, which is about 1/2 from my house.

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The best christmas gift :snowwindow:

image.thumb.png.3095d5b52adc69e12fc39aec200c2d8a.png

 

Tonight
Rain before 11pm, then snow and sleet between 11pm and midnight, then snow after midnight. Low around 28. West wind 10 to 14 mph becoming north after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow and sleet accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible.
Christmas Day
Snow before 8am, then snow showers likely between 8am and 4pm, then snow after 4pm. High near 29. Breezy, with a west wind 17 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 34 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible.
Friday Night
Snow before 8pm, then snow showers after 8pm. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 20. Breezy, with a southwest wind 20 to 22 mph, with gusts as high as 34 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 7 to 11 inches possible.
Saturday
Snow showers. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 27. Breezy, with a southwest wind 17 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Saturday Night
Snow showers, mainly before 8pm. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 22. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Sunday
A chance of snow showers before 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 36. Chance of precipitation is 50%
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2 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said:

I have google nest cams installed in front and back of my house with 24/7 1080P live camera view if anyone is looking for a good stream.

Got a link for that?

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HRRR zoning in on a single, intense band of snow setting up for a few hours overnight downwind of Lake Michigan. Someone lucky is going to get buried Christmas morning!

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They boosted our totals once again.

That's 17-31" :mapsnow:
image.thumb.png.ec2fcc0f53c9f28c7deea449f2e9106d.png
 
Tonight
Snow. Low around 27. Northwest wind 6 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible.
Christmas Day
Snow. High near 29. West wind around 17 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible.
Friday Night
Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Some thunder is also possible. Low around 21. Southwest wind 15 to 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 8 to 12 inches possible.
Saturday
Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 27. Breezy, with a southwest wind 17 to 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible.
Saturday Night
Snow showers. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 23. West wind 11 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Sunday
A chance of snow showers before 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 35. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
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I wouldbt be able to get out and leave for NY or Erie until tomorrow evening. Worried that by that point roads will be atrocious as I got close, and I’d miss half the storm. Ugh bad timing. Hopefully another Les event soon I’ll come chase!

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3 hours ago, sbnwx85 said:

HRRR zoning in on a single, intense band of snow setting up for a few hours overnight downwind of Lake Michigan. Someone lucky is going to get buried Christmas morning!

0087A1F9-8728-4DD1-8B6B-443EF3806175.png

35A17C52-1552-417D-8CA4-20A2076D51DA.png

I might even get some scraps, aka mood flakes down here. Mood flakes aren't a bad thing on Christmas morning.

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HRRR sticking to a big dog for some lucky few. I’m about 8 miles east if the SBN airport so fingers crossed for me. I’ve got some flakes starting to fly. 

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1 hour ago, sbnwx85 said:

HRRR sticking to a big dog for some lucky few. I’m about 8 miles east if the SBN airport so fingers crossed for me. I’ve got some flakes starting to fly. 

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My old place was 1 mile NE of the airport. Whoever has it now, you're lookin good for Santa's arrival

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Congrats and nice pics sbnwx85. LM snow belt getting hammered.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
813 AM EST FRI DEC 25 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 AM     HEAVY SNOW       SAINT JOSEPH            42.10N 86.49W
12/25/2020  M11.0 INCH       BERRIEN            MI   TRAINED SPOTTER  

            SNOW CONTINUES TO FALL. 
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Just got back in from what will probably be the last heavy snow burst. Will measure again later but I’d guess we got about 8-9 inches. A beautiful sight!

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