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Tallis Rockwell

Severe weather event for April 24-25

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day5prob.gif?1555805102671

On Wednesday, the models move the upper-level trough into the
   southern Plains and have a moist airmass in place from the Texas
   Coastal Plains northeastward into the mid Mississippi Valley.
   Thunderstorm development will be possible ahead of a front across
   the eastern third of Texas northeastward into the Arklatex.
   Deep-layer shear is forecast to be strong enough across
   south-central and southeast Texas for a severe threat Wednesday
   afternoon and evening. The models are in good enough agreement that
   a severe threat areas has been added across this area on Day 5.

A good synoptic set up but without a clear picture on the mesoscale ingredients this could be nothing

 

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Wow that's rough. Euro can't even get 70 Td in South Texas. Deep South next day is pretty bad too. Both days wind fields are meh. Warm 700 mb prevents instability and helicity juxtaposition. First time I've really looked. SPC is right to downplay. Yuck!

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And a severe thunderstorm warning in Tarrant County as well.  I'm starting to hear the rain pick up here on the west side of Fort Worth, but the winds don't seem too strong right now.  Storm is warned for 65 mph wind gusts.

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Tough call. Moisture, temps and CAPE are a little low for South Texas. However low level shear certainly supports 5%. It is borderline. Few more degrees F or more knots at 850 mb and it's 10%. Maybe not today though.

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Funnel cloud and damage confirmed.

BRYAN, Texas — An apparent tornado touched down in Bryan Wednesday afternoon.

Some homes are damaged in the 6900 block of Coyote Run Road, according to KBTX.

It’s not clear if anyone was injured.

Emergency crews are headed to the area near FM 1179 and Highway 6.

Brazos County remains under a tornado warning.

Check back for more on this developing story.

 

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51 minutes ago, canderson said:

Parents near Longview in a closet right now, TOR warning and they heard the low rumble sound.

That area of rotation dissipated as it moved northeast, and another area of decent rotation formed without a tornado warning near Diana, TX. I called my friend to let them know, but there was no tornado warning. He said it was quite windy and they had lost power, so I told them to hang tight for 10 minutes or so in their closet. No other incident that I'm aware of and it looks like the rotation has weakened. 

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19 minutes ago, cstrunk said:

That area of rotation dissipated as it moved northeast, and another area of decent rotation formed without a tornado warning near Diana, TX. I called my friend to let them know, but there was no tornado warning. He said it was quite windy and they had lost power, so I told them to hang tight for 10 minutes or so in their closet. No other incident that I'm aware of and it looks like the rotation has weakened. 

Yea they’re good. They’re on the WO/East Mountain/ border essentially  

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1 hour ago, aggiegeog said:

I am interested to see what the survey teams find regarding the Deep East Texas/North Louisiana tornado(s).

The one that traveled apparently 150 miles and killed 2?  And damaged parts of LT campus?

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1 hour ago, yoda said:

The one that traveled apparently 150 miles and killed 2?  And damaged parts of LT campus?

Yes, that one.

Along with the Bryan and Gilmer ones. It was and eventful day/night in East Texas with lots of flooding along with the isolated tornadoes.

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The Bryan tornado has been rated an EF-2 so far.

Quote
030 
NOUS44 KHGX 252244
PNSHGX
TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-300-313-335>338-
436>438-261045-
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
544 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2019
...NWS DAMAGE SURVEY FOR APRIL 24 TORNADO EVENT NEAR BRYAN TX...
.TORNADO EAST OF BRYAN TX...
RATING:                 EF-2
ESTIMATED PEAK WIND:    120 MPH
PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/:  1.6 MILES
PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/:   50-100 YARDS
FATALITIES:             0
INJURIES:               1
START DATE:             APRIL 24, 2019 
START TIME:             442PM CDT
START LOCATION:         FM 1179 AND COYOTE RUN
START LAT/LON:          30.6871_/_-96.3018
END DATE:               APRIL 24, 2019
END TIME:               447PM CDT
END LOCATION:           OLD RELIANCE ROAD AND MERKA DRIVE
END_LAT/LON:            30.7090_/_-96.3118
SURVEY_SUMMARY:
DAMAGE SURVEY FOUND THAT A TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN ABOUT 4 MILES EAST OF
BRYAN TEXAS ALONG FARM TO MARKET ROAD 1179 AT AROUND 442PM CDT CAUSING
DAMAGE TO ONE HOUSE AND FOUR COMMERCIAL BUILDINGS AND WAREHOUSES. THERE
WAS ONE INJURY TO A MALE INSIDE ONE OF THE WAREHOUSES. THE TORNADO THEN
TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWEST TOWARDS ANOTHER WAREHOUSE BUILDING WITH TREE
DAMAGE ALONG ITS PATH BEFORE DISSIPATING NEAR MERKA DRIVE EAST OF OLD
RELIANCE ROAD AROUND 447PM CDT. DAMAGE TO THE WAREHOUSES AND COMMERCIAL
BUILDINGS WAS RATED EF-2 WITH OTHER DAMAGE RANGING FROM EF-0 TO EF-1.
START TIME AND END TIMES OF THE TORNADO WERE BASED ON EYEWITNESS REPORTS
AND TIME MATCHED WITH RADAR DATA.
EF SCALE: THE ENHANCED FUJITA SCALE CLASSIFIES TORNADOES
INTO THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES.
EF0...WEAK......65 TO 85 MPH
EF1...WEAK......86 TO 110 MPH
EF2...STRONG....111 TO 135 MPH
EF3...STRONG....136 TO 165 MPH
EF4...VIOLENT...166 TO 200 MPH
EF5...VIOLENT...>200 MPH
NOTE:
THE INFORMATION IN THIS STATEMENT IS PRELIMINARY AND SUBJECT TO CHANGE
PENDING FINAL REVIEW OF THE EVENT AND PUBLICATION IN NWS STORM
DATA. 
$$
OVERPECK
 

 

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