wolfie09 Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Latest KBUF map moved a little farther south, jumping pulaski up 2"-3".. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 29 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Suddenly, I'm goosestepping with the ICON! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 25, 2019 Author Share Posted January 25, 2019 Band should begin to start a slow drift north and intensify the next few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 25, 2019 Author Share Posted January 25, 2019 Not to get ahead but wolf next weekends lake effect look good? Erie likely 50% frozen by then but you guys should do well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Just started snowing heavily here in the last 5 minutes. The orientation of the band to the southwest gives me hope it might last here a little longer than 10 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 GFS is out to lunch.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 GFS is confused, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 25, 2019 Author Share Posted January 25, 2019 NWS is calling for 8-12" additional for Buffalo and 7-14" additional for southtowns. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Synoptically we don't snow, we automatically rain or pixie dust, lol! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Yea the globals say we do this once again tue-thur on a west/wsw flow..Lets see how this one can hit the crapper lol I noticed P&C showing 4"-8" here but only 1"-2" in DT Altmar 3.5 miles south, going to be close.. Pops already increased to likely for said "potential" LES event.. Monday Night Snow. Low around 9. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Tuesday Snow. High near 31. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Tuesday Night Snow showers likely. Cloudy, with a low around 8. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Wednesday Snow showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 12. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Wednesday Night Snow showers likely. Cloudy, with a low around -5. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Thursday A chance of snow showers. Cloudy and cold, with a high near 9. Chance of precipitation is 50% 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 13 minutes ago, CNY_WX said: Just started snowing heavily here in the last 5 minutes. The orientation of the band to the southwest gives me hope it might last here a little longer than 10 minutes. Nah, very doubtful, lol as mine lasted 10 and now the suns out dimmly and will soon see true Sun as these 2 bands really get going and it does nothing but blow exhaust in between so the next few days will be cold and boring except for the 10-20 minute squall we'll get in between now and then, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Just now, BuffaloWeather said: NWS is calling for 8-12" additional for Buffalo and 7-14" additional for southtowns. This event is starting to remind me of December 2017. There was a double band lake event and the models only picked up on the southern band...meanwhile the northern band pushed into the Northtowns and dropped about 10" in about 5 hours. I see the same scenario later today. Also the shift upstrean is already taking place over lower Michigan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Just now, wolfie09 said: Yea the globals say we do this once again tue-thur on a west/wsw flow..Lets see how this one can hit the crapper lol I noticed P&C showing 4"-8" here but only 1"-2" in DT Altmar 3.5 miles south, going to be close.. Pops already increased to likely for said "potential" LES event.. Monday Night Snow. Low around 9. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Tuesday Snow. High near 31. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Tuesday Night Snow showers likely. Cloudy, with a low around 8. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Wednesday Snow showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 12. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Wednesday Night Snow showers likely. Cloudy, with a low around -5. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Thursday A chance of snow showers. Cloudy and cold, with a high near 9. Chance of precipitation is 50% Hows that even possible with a SLP to our East? weird, but I've seen weirder, with the weather! Thats interesting and would love to see it unless once the system passes, the one from Mon-Tues, heads to the ESE instead of NE like the models are showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 25, 2019 Author Share Posted January 25, 2019 6 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: This event is starting to remind me of December 2017. There was a double band lake event and the models only picked up on the southern band...meanwhile the northern band pushed into the Northtowns and dropped about 10" in about 5 hours. I see the same scenario later today. Also the shift upstrean is already taking place over lower Michigan. Yeah it hasn't really stopped snowing here all morning, picking up again. It's been lighter then the stuff early this morning though. Right now moderate snow. If you go to Buf NWS radar and click on Detriot you can see the bands going pretty far north and the wind shift. It's really close to showing up on lake Erie already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Waves up to 11 feet today! That will help break up some of the ice trying to form. 944 AM EST Fri Jan 25 2019...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THISEVENING......SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM ESTSATURDAY...The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a HeavyFreezing Spray Warning, which is in effect until 10 PM EST thisevening.* WINDS...West to 30 knots.* WAVES...8 to 11 feet.* FREEZING SPRAY...Winds of up to 30 knots and waves greater than 8 feet will create conditions favorable for heavy freezing spray.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Wow your right Wolf as the GFS and GGEM go WSW right after system heads off to our NE and it does it quick, interesting! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Just now, CNY-WXFREAK said: Wow your right Wolf as the GFS and GGEM go WSW right after system heads off to our NE and it does it quick, interesting! GFS is bipolar. It is trying to show all rain systems through 15 days. It needs a vacation. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 I'll tell ya right now, we start seeing these clippers one after another dropping just to our North, like they are, through Ottawa you guys out in WNY are gonna see quite a bit of snow, wow the potenttial! Its super windy out right now, crazy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Storm retrogrades west, initally out of the wnw quickly to west/wsw..Subject to change for obvious reasons lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 1 minute ago, Thinksnow18 said: GFS is bipolar. It is trying to show all rain systems through 15 days. It needs a vacation. Its so stupid! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Just now, wolfie09 said: Storm retrogrades west, initally out of the wnw quickly to west/wsw..Subject to change for obvious reasons lol yeah I seen it, but it was the GFS, lol so...... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 25, 2019 Author Share Posted January 25, 2019 @Thinksnow18 Showing up on the cleveland radar now, really hoping the shear dies down a little bit this afternoon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 band back into Syracuse. Doesn't look all that intense on radar but its huffing and puffing and snowing pretty good out there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Took a measurement at noon. Just 2.7” here so far... That wind has a real bite to it today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 New map up. Really went aggressive for rest of today! Even has me in the 12-18” range now? . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 I'm very curious to see what the Euro snow map looks like for next week. I have absolutely no idea what the weather would look like in upstate as depicted on the Euro with a 1002 mb low over Delta's house on Tuesday, then a 985 mb low screeming up the CT river valley on Wednesday. Won't happen, but wonder what kind of snow/rain that sucker spits out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 25, 2019 Author Share Posted January 25, 2019 A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL AFFECT NORTHERN WYOMING... NORTHWESTERN CATTARAUGUS...SOUTHERN ERIE AND NORTHEASTERN CHAUTAUQUA COUNTIES At 139 PM EST, A band of lake effect snow producing snowfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour extends from Brocton to Hamburg. The band then stretches across East Aurora, Marilla and through Attica, with impacts throughout the hills to the south to about Cattaraugus Creek. This band will begin to strengthen again during the afternoon and start to move to the north. This will have an adverse effect on the commute for anyone travelling south of Buffalo through this evening. The band will move north into Metro Buffalo by around nightfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 25, 2019 Author Share Posted January 25, 2019 ....Lake effect snow north late this afternoon... Lake effect snow is expected to intensify and move north late this afternoon over Metro Buffalo and points east, where it will remain through the evening. This band will graze the Northtowns while hitting the Southtowns again. This band will also cover portions of Buffalo, Cheektowaga, Lancaster, and Alden. Expect from a trace of snow from Tonawanda to as much as additional 8 inches tonight under the center of the band. This will have adverse effects on the evening commute, first over many of the Southtowns by 3 PM, then Metro Buffalo and east between 4 to 6 PM as the band moves north. Snow rates will range from 1 to 3 inches per hour, and the band should be about 15 miles wide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Can definetly see the northward drift kicking in and the band falling apart. Maybe it’s getting ready to reorganize as a new single band again. Should be a fun evening ahead! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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