ChescoWx Posted January 17, 2019 Author Share Posted January 17, 2019 Wxsim updated with 12z data remained nearly the same as the 6z GFS/NAM for NW Chesco (similar temps/less precip - added a little snow at end) S+ by 3pm Saturday with Heavy IP by 6pm - total snow/sleet 3" to 4" - Temps stay below freezing till near midnight with 1.36" falling as frozen. Than another inch or so of rain before changing to snow before ending Still thinking south folks like me will not do as well as those further north and of course west like Steve etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 just saw elsewhere ukmet is juiciest now of all guidance and holds ll cold in much longer. At work cant check. Can anyone confirm?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 7 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: just saw elsewhere ukmet is juiciest now of all guidance and holds ll cold in much longer. At work cant check. Can anyone confirm?? I didn't see the thermals, don't have access. Low tracks right over PHL and moves ENE. Not a great track for this area but apparently there is a decent thump for even 95 similar to the icon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Dr No, Mr Glass or whatever jogged 40 miles NW with the jackboot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 7 minutes ago, RedSky said: Dr No, Mr Glass or whatever jogged 40 miles NW with the jackboot 3rd nail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 5 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: 3rd nail My nails are still in the toolbox. Won't start my official nailing till tomorrow... *Off topic a bit, anyone have any insight (weather) on the Pats at KC Sunday at 6:40pm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Can't believe the crappy GFS lead the way... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, The Iceman said: Can't believe the crappy GFS lead the way... Weenie handbook rule #7 - The model forecasting the least snow verifies in bad winters. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 this doesn't look too bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 ^Actually looks good to my eyes... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 17 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: My nails are still in the toolbox. Won't start my official nailing till tomorrow... *Off topic a bit, anyone have any insight (weather) on the Pats at KC Sunday at 6:40pm? Final nail for I95 should be 0z. Hoping for a 4th qtr shift/fake punt/onside kick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Maybe tonight will overperform and we end up with 2 inches as opposed to 1 inch as a consolation for this weekend... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, The Iceman said: Maybe tonight will overperform and we end up with 2 inches as opposed to 1 inch as a consolation for this weekend... I'll go out of my way to predict more than last Sat into Sun storm around here...those damn flakes were so small! I'm outside now and just looking at the radar around Pitt and my (becoming more cloudy skies above)...I'll beat last weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdamobile Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 I know it's the JMA and I don't know where it goes from here but it's interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 JMA absolutely annhialated majority of us this run. Perfect track. MECS/HECS. So JMA/ICON vs the world. Not sure I would lay money on those odds tho with the odds an upset would pay extremely well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdamobile Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Ralph, Do you have the rest of the run? TT only has that and the precip maps. Icon looked good. Real good initial thump. If this low could go through VA instead of on top of us. We'd all be happy. I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 3 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: JMA absolutely annhialated majority of us this run. Perfect track. MECS/HECS. So JMA/ICON vs the world. Not sure I would lay money on those odds tho with the odds an upset would pay extremely well. The JMA/ICON rule is going to be the new EE... bank on it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 5 minutes ago, jdamobile said: Ralph, Do you have the rest of the run? TT only has that and the precip maps. Icon looked good. Real good initial thump. If this low could go through VA instead of on top of us. We'd all be happy. I think. Rough maps I use are meh....just widespread 1-3' DC - just W of BOS Eta: has the 2nd punch like the icon FWIW which drops ~8"-12" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 16 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: I'll go out of my way to predict more than last Sat into Sun storm around here...those damn flakes were so small! I'm outside now and just looking at the radar around Pitt and my (becoming more cloudy skies above)...I'll beat last weekend. I hope you are right. I only had an inch so I'm hoping I can beat that tonight... 2 inches will feel like christmas at this point... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdamobile Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 lol 1-3' DC - Boston. I'd laugh so hard if that is what happens. That sounds like what the euro painted out about 5 days ago. Where DC had a 40" spot. Another interesting tidbit is the GEF and GEPS ensembles. A few members do have a low down where the JMA has it. Just something I thought I'd mention. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Weird....the JMA 850s dont match. 850s scorch but precip maps are frozen. Toss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 feels bad man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Dream Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 11 minutes ago, The Iceman said: feels bad man Ugh, this winter has been pretty bad thus far. Fingers crossed we get a 1-2 decent storms...preferably before March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 21 minutes ago, The Iceman said: feels bad man My Holly will post WSW next update. Last update was this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, hazwoper said: My Holly will post WSW next update. Last update was this morning Yeah they'll cover it in the afternoon update, expect the NW burbs to get a WSW. Just depressing to look at for the moment lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Im not sure what we end up with out here in Central Berks, seems like snow/sleet with some rain then back to snow by Sunday am Edit: WSW just issued 5-10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 14 minutes ago, The Iceman said: Yeah they'll cover it in the afternoon update, expect the NW burbs to get a WSW. Just depressing to look at for the moment lol The winter of yore....GULP 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shadow_ Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Winter storm watched posted for Lehigh valley....5 to 10 inches of snow with tenth of ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fields27 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Kind of surprised with the 5-10 call. Seems bullish but I'll take all day. Hoping for good trends these next two days. Sent from my HTC6535LVW using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
specialsk Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Basically the entire NE corner of the country is under a WSW except the chunk of real estate of DelVal proper. Even BAL/DCA gets a WAA. This after last weekend's event. Can't make this stuff up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now