HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 9 minutes ago, Aallen said: I’m kinda new to this. How reliable is that model? In terms of reliability you can basically say "At least it's not the JMA" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Ukie should be good. ,eastern KY to Philly track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aallen Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Can someone post a snowfall map for ukie when it comes in. I haven’t been able to find one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 The FV3 looks like the 3k NAM with widespread 6” totals but the heaviest is in a band just south of me where 12”+ falls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 17 minutes ago, Aallen said: Can someone post a snowfall map for ukie when it comes in. I haven’t been able to find one Vespian has been posting it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Great runs tonight. To be honest I believe the UKMET was the first one to have the more southernly track, then the euro. Could be wrong though. Remember buckeye posting it a couple days back south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osubrett2 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Took a peek at the UKMET QPF map on the Upstate NY sub, and it’s definitely similar to it’s previois solutions. Maybe slightly SE from prior runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 6 minutes ago, osubrett2 said: Took a peek at the UKMET QPF map on the Upstate NY sub, and it’s definitely similar to it’s previois solutions. Maybe slightly SE from prior runs. Yep about 40 miles. And dryer on the west side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 16 minutes ago, dilly84 said: Vespian has been posting it. Can't post it now, I'm away from home. Maybe buckeye? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Euro could be "b word" conditions for someone likely around i70 or north.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Higher ratios someone may get to 20" on the euro run with 30mph winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Can you show for upstate ny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 35 minutes ago, tim123 said: Can you show for upstate ny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 06z NAM is going to be epic for I70. Nice deform band Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 1 hour ago, vespasian70 said: 06z NAM is going to be epic for I70. Nice deform band Gfs sure is.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 06Z GFS a touch north and more amped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted January 18, 2019 Author Share Posted January 18, 2019 they added a few counties to our South to the winter storm watch.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ConvectiveIA Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Things have trended less organized in the last suite of runs showing that for us, it’s a day late and a dollar short for the promises of high totals the models advertised yesterday. Big screw zone on west side of Iowa extending into the DSM/Ames metro area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 We couldn't ask for a better track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Awfully quiet in here considering we are under a Watch. Perhaps burnout? lol 12z NAM rolling out ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoDoppler4TnySandz Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Guys--- if I were in CMH or vicinity-- you have like where you are sitting and the trends of recent.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, NoDoppler4TnySandz said: Guys--- if I were in CMH or vicinity-- you have like where you are sitting and the trends of recent.... Yea, just a few ticks south and we're golden. I think as is we shall taint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoDoppler4TnySandz Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Well someone said it years ago...can't remember if it was on AmericanWx or a local board down here....."sometimes you have to smell the rain, to get the heavy snow" Nonetheless, this sure beats what we had in Dec...it was so quiet I thought Buckeye may have been vaporized by aliens.....total crickets Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 HRRR keeping the taint well south of us though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osubrett2 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 NAM coming in a few mb stronger and north, but it's colder along I-70. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cincy12 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 7 minutes ago, vespasian70 said: Awfully quiet in here considering we are under a Watch. Perhaps burnout? lol 12z NAM rolling out ... Emotional roller coaster. I think Cincy is going to just miss out. Perhaps an over performer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted January 18, 2019 Author Share Posted January 18, 2019 I think the reason it's quiet right now is that we have been so disappointed the past few years and disappointment comes with the next model runs!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 I think we're about to get nam'd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osubrett2 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 NAM's initial thump "crushes" I-70. Edit: "crushes" being relative for our lack of big storms haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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