osubrett2
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Everything posted by osubrett2
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93 at DAY today
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Front Range snowstorm nowcast/conditions 3/13-15
osubrett2 replied to mayjawintastawm's topic in Central/Western States
Friend of mine has measured 5.5” so far in Littleton. What happened that the city has missed out? -
Is the BOU radar down? Can’t get it to load in RadarScope.
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There are still pockets of warm air aloft that caused mixing around Dayton and now around Columbus. These pockets will cool completely overnight and moisture near CVG will move this way as snow. 850s shouldn't rise above 0C until 9-10am. That's when our risk of rain and melting starts.
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First flakes flying here. Not completely buying the higher totals the NAM keeps spitting out, but I'm keeping a close eye on the 850 temps. NAM wants to keep I-70 and north below 0, HRRR says otherwise but may be trending cooler. But regardless, 2m temps will inhibit much accumulation between 12-6p tomorrow.
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A mix of sleet was modeled by the hi-res models in this initial band. Dewpoints and wetbulbs are still below freezing, so the column still has to fully cool.
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Good recall on those dates... 6” was at least a decent recovery for the 1/19/19 storm for YBY, I think I ended up with 4.5” IMBY all from the ULL after sunset. I felt pretty scorned over that bust. 2/1/19 was a nice, over-performing clipper. I didn’t officially measure, but I recall eyeballing close to 5.5-6”. Yes our climate isn’t friendly to 6”+ storms, but going 6 years between confirmed WSWs is brutal.
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1/19/19 was a fairly noteworthy bust within 12 hours for south of US 36. So I’d argue the WSW drought is longer than 738 days.
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Have done well here locally; snowing most of the day since 8am. Had a nice moderate burst in the late morning which brought MBY ~2" by 1230/1. This last round may bring MBY to 3" total.
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Ohio’s numbers have looked “better” than last week, trending between 6400-7800/day. But DeWine confirmed today that ~12k cases, since Monday, are being double checked. And most of them are likely positive. So some backdating or a bulk upload will increase Ohio’s number dramatically.
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Record day in Ohio: 3,509. Prior high was last Saturday ~2,600.
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ILN has the Frost/Freeze program up for most of the CWA. Coldest temperature so far this season: -CMH: 33 on 10/17 -CVG: 34 on 10/17 -DAY: 35 on 10/16
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I mean, he's not wrong. We know geography is not in our favor, but we'll still whine and complain when the rug gets swept out from under us 72 hours out.
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Just a few miles makes a huge difference, as always, but heavy rain has skirted around MBY all summer. August Month to Date: -MBY: 1.46" -CMH: 3.32" (~6-7 miles as the crow flies)
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Ohio had its largest single day in reported cases since the pandemic began: 1,525.
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CMH eeked out 90 before storms moved into Central Ohio to make it 12 days in a row. Streak should end tomorrow, but it’ll be close. 90, 91, 91, 92, 93, 94, 96, 97, 97, 92, 94, & 90
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97 for the 2nd consecutive day at CMH.
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97 at CMH today, impressive. Today makes 8 consecutive 90+ going back to June 29th; 90, 91, 91, 92, 93, 94, 96, & 97.
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96F at CMH today. Hottest since 97F on 8/31/12.
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You know it’s a bad winter when ILN doesn’t even issue a Warning for the lower criteria counties south of I-70
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0.8” at CMH, couldn’t even squeeze out an even inch
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6.8" on 2/21/2015 was the last 6"+ event (including 2 day totals) for CMH. Franklin County/CMH has only been under 1 Winter Storm Warning since the winter of 2014-15 and that event (1/19-1-20/2019) busted big.
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Welp, yeah sorry fellas. Looked decent for a split second, but a stronger system on Wednesday ruins any chance for the OV on Thursday/Friday.
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Might we finally have a trackable event later this week??
