wolfie09 Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Snow really starting to pick up now, huge fluffy flakes.. SWS Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Buffalo NY 150 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018 NYZ003>006-141000- Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego- Including the cities of Rochester, Newark, Fair Haven, and Oswego 150 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT AREAS SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO OVERNIGHT... Multiple bands of lake effect snow will continue overnight. Some of these band will produce moderate to occasionally heavy snow. Snowfall rates of an inch or more per hour are possible in the most persistent snows. Visibilities will drop quickly to less than a half mile in the areas of heavier snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattny88 Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 yeah wolfie i see that northern band your speaking of...its pretty obvious and apparent that the original first band just south of fulton is not going to be heading north and if anything will be sliding south a little more..it loos like altmar and oswego both have to rely on the transient band that we are dealiing with now..thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 This event is ova for even me thats why LES sucks azz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 The connection died, so the band went South and completely fell apart, and it looks like its trying to reconnect, but it may not happen. Not a complete bust though as I'm sitting at 5" even so all-in-all not bad! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Looks like an inch or two here. No more than 3 though. Barely worth going out and measuring. Thankfully I decided to catch up on my sleep and missed yet another epic LES bust. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Well'' their 0-1 already this yr so make sure you remember this when adding to your page there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 If this thing can manage to connect one more time, to the upper lakes, then we may verify. but I'm in KBUF's CWA anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Bone dry besides what the lakes are providing but they mentioned this so they were banking on a connection through this event but that went bust, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 The Boston Hills may have actually done better with a connection to Huron but I'm to lazy to check, lol! Everything is in place except the damn moisture,! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 The Lake surface to H850 differential is just stupid, and we still can't pop a band, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 I stand slightly corrected. 4.5" measured, 0.33" liquid. I'll call this an underachiever versus a bust, depending on what forecast is being compared...4-7", 5-10" etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 I thought the worst part of this was supposed to be between 4 and 10 AM? Not even one school delay this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 my forecast, 6-15" only got 5" that's a bust to me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Just now, CNY_WX said: I thought the worst part of this was supposed to be between 4 and 10 AM? Not even one school delay this morning. Yep, horrible forecast, I'm sorry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 I found it, lol, its effecting Metro KROC with a clear connection to GB and Huron so good for them, lol! Clear convergence right around that area so I checked and boom, the band is alive and well, lol! I don't know if its clear to all of you but you can see the convergence zone clearly hitting the central part of the Lake extending inland over the Finger Lakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Almost over the Niagara Enscarpment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Could be a Time-frame this weekend that KBUF and the Watertown area can get in on some action so we'll see. Sat-Sunday but I really haven't checked temps but the wind works. Edit: not cold enough, my bad! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Need a subtle wind shift but lets let KROC have some fun! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Look at this band over the Catskills, lol, what a Joke but their getting hammered! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 38 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: I found it, lol, its effecting Metro KROC with a clear connection to GB and Huron so good for them, lol! Clear convergence right around that area so I checked and boom, the band is alive and well, lol! I don't know if its clear to all of you but you can see the convergence zone clearly hitting the central part of the Lake extending inland over the Finger Lakes I seem to recall seeing this sort of thing last winter, where WNW/NW bands seemed to orient just to our S&W somewhat often, leaving us in a relative minima compared to our N & S. Apparently, the lake has a memory and enjoys our whining. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 My attention is definitely on Thursday night...already winter storm watches for the interior western southern tier and it looks to be coming in with more QPF giving even KBUF 3 or 4 inches through Friday am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Don't think we're out of the woods just yet, and yes I remember KROC the past few yrs has done well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 4.3 inches here, 0.26” LE. I guess that’s on the low end of most forecasts but we were all hoping for more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 14, 2018 Author Share Posted November 14, 2018 9 minutes ago, CNY_WX said: 4.3 inches here, 0.26” LE. I guess that’s on the low end of most forecasts but we were all hoping for more. The band was strong, albeit weaker than I had imagined it would be. But the real issue was the transient winds, a few models had it stationary for several hours with 2" per hour. Instead it slowly slid from north to south and weakened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Nice band that formed over Amherst and Williamsville as I was leaving for work Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 14, 2018 Author Share Posted November 14, 2018 Fridays system is looking like at least a few inches for everyone here. Especially central NY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 KROC getting some love right now. We might end up with an inch if this last band can hold together for another hour. It looks glorious out there!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Could be worse, Fulton saw less then 2” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 HWO A storm system moving along the east coast will spread snow across the region Thursday night into Friday which could accumulate 3 to 6 inches. The snow could mix with sleet at times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 6z Euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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