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meatwad

Pittsburgh PA "Spring" and Summer 2018

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
351 PM EDT TUE OCT 2 2018

The National Weather Service in Cleveland has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Northeastern Crawford County in northwestern Pennsylvania...

* Until 430 PM EDT.

* At 351 PM EDT, a large and extremely dangerous tornado was located
  near Guys Mills, or 7 miles east of Meadville, moving east at 45
  mph.

  This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

  HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris
           may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile
           homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to
           homes#commaOrEllipsis()businesses#commaOrEllipsis()and
           vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible.

* The tornado will be near...
  Titusville around 415 PM EDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Hydetown, Townville and Blooming Valley.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly
tornado is developing. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move to
a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 4162 7982 4160 7985 4160 8003 4179 8002
      4177 7961 4162 7961
TIME...MOT...LOC 1951Z 284DEG 38KT 4168 8001

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL...1.00IN

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Channel 11 had an amateur video of a wall cloud with a funnel trying to come down.  It seemed to touch down once during the video.  Pretty violent rotation, but hard to tell how close the camera was to it.  I think it was in Green County.

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Some pictures I saw around twitter / web of the storms yesterday:

Crawford_County_ErieNews_Tornado.jpg.716708bed78141367470f673b7dd3ce9.jpg

 

 

 

Anyways, looks like little chance of sustained fall weather on the horizon.. Seems these "anomalous" ridges are becoming more common place.

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
The extended forecast will be predicated on the position and
strength of the anomalous 500h ridge that is expected to blossom
over the eastern US. Ensembles are coming into better agreement
now showing the ridge amplifying Saturday and Sunday and
sitting directly over the Carolinas. This will not only increase
the temperatures across the region, but this very strong
subsidence should be able to provide an extended dry period
beginning Sunday and continuing through the remainder of the
long term.

Temperature will remain above seasonal average into next week.
Consistency among models in an anomalously-strong upper ridge
in the Mid-Atlantic region has increased for early next week,
which suggests maxima could reach well into the 80s. In fact,
sounding climatology suggests that H5 height at Pittsburgh could
near record values.

 

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4 hours ago, RitualOfTheTrout said:

Anyways, looks like little chance of sustained fall weather on the horizon.. Seems these "anomalous" ridges are becoming more common place.

Watching the GFS run, Leslie offshore seems to be helping with blocking any eastward flow forcing everything up into Canada to our west.   A super torch is coming for early next week, +15 to 20 range on the 850s.  I hope this means a swing to an equally opposite extreme when the pattern eventually changes.  

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PDS tornado warning?  That's quite unusual.

I saw that hook on the radar yesterday and was quite concerned for Waynesburg, but it seems the funnel lifted before it got there.  NWS reported an EF1 near Graysville, which is about 15 miles west of Waynesburg.  I feel as though these warm Septembers and Octobers are much more the norm, but I admit that's anecdotal as I haven't kept logs.  If that's true, however, then tornadoes are perhaps to become more common.

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Can I just say how much I HATE this weather pattern. I look forward to 60-70 degree days and nights in the 40’s, not mid June type weather. 

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Can I just say how much I HATE this weather pattern. I look forward to 60-70 degree days and nights in the 40’s, not mid June type weather. 
You and me both. I want to experience a little bit of fall weather before winter gets here.

Sent from my SM-G960U using Tapatalk

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On 10/3/2018 at 7:59 PM, jwilson said:

PDS tornado warning?  That's quite unusual.

I saw that hook on the radar yesterday and was quite concerned for Waynesburg, but it seems the funnel lifted before it got there.  NWS reported an EF1 near Graysville, which is about 15 miles west of Waynesburg.  I feel as though these warm Septembers and Octobers are much more the norm, but I admit that's anecdotal as I haven't kept logs.  If that's true, however, then tornadoes are perhaps to become more common.

This time of year is our second peak for severe but I agree, if it's warmer and especially more moisture in the atmosphere as the cold fronts crash into it we may see more "falls" with this kind of weather. 

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9 hours ago, KPITSnow said:

Can I just say how much I HATE this weather pattern. I look forward to 60-70 degree days and nights in the 40’s, not mid June type weather. 

Agree, still running the AC.. The warm high dew point nights are really what do me in. I could live with it being warmer during the day if we dropped into low 50s at night. 

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July in October sucks.  Man, it has been humid for seemingly weeks.

C'mon Fall!  You can do it!  It not for any other reason, so my damn grass stops growing...

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Here it comes.......

You can't say us snow people aren't getting a little excited can you?

Looking forward to sleepless nights looking at models that will have snowfalls missing us about 90% of the time. HaHa

I just want 2 big snowfalls this year. Just 2 over a foot would make me happy.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
By this weekend, upper level longwave troughing becomes more
established across the eastern CONUS. A robust shortwave will
move through Friday night into Saturday, bringing the next
chance of rain showers. Forecast soundings show temperature
profiles just a bit too warm in the low levels and too dry in
the dendritic snow growth region for snow showers... but just a
small change in the forecast and the atmosphere may be conducive
for some flakes mixed in with rain in the higher elevations or
across the northern portions of the CWA (I80 corridor).
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3 hours ago, blackngoldrules said:

I don't think we're ever going to see Hurricane Michael again. Wow.

Sent from my SM-G960U using Tapatalk
 

In pretty unique territory. One of 6 storms in history to form in the month of October and reach a pressure of 920 or lower. I believe landfall was made at 919. None made landfall anywhere close to that pressure. Wilma was 950 at landfall in Florida.

Screen Shot 2018-10-10 at 4.39.29 PM.png

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Frost Advisory

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
212 PM EDT Wed Oct 17 2018

PAZ020-021-073-075-180215-
/O.NEW.KPBZ.FR.Y.0003.181018T0800Z-181018T1300Z/
Beaver-Allegheny-Westmoreland-Fayette-
Including the cities of Aliquippa, Beaver Falls, Ambridge,
Monaca, Pittsburgh Metro Area, Murrysville, Greensburg,
New Kensington, and Uniontown
212 PM EDT Wed Oct 17 2018

...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT THURSDAY...

The National Weather Service in Pittsburgh has issued a Frost
Advisory, which is in effect from 4 AM to 9 AM EDT Thursday.

* TEMPERATURES...In the mid 30s.

* TIMING...Late tonight through Thursday morning.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions may damage sensitive
  vegetation. Take steps now to protect tender plants from the
  cold.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Frost Advisory means that widespread frost is expected.
Sensitive outdoor plants may be killed if left uncovered.

&&

$$

 

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39 minutes ago, meatwad said:
Frost Advisory

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
212 PM EDT Wed Oct 17 2018

PAZ020-021-073-075-180215-
/O.NEW.KPBZ.FR.Y.0003.181018T0800Z-181018T1300Z/
Beaver-Allegheny-Westmoreland-Fayette-
Including the cities of Aliquippa, Beaver Falls, Ambridge,
Monaca, Pittsburgh Metro Area, Murrysville, Greensburg,
New Kensington, and Uniontown
212 PM EDT Wed Oct 17 2018

...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT THURSDAY...

The National Weather Service in Pittsburgh has issued a Frost
Advisory, which is in effect from 4 AM to 9 AM EDT Thursday.

* TEMPERATURES...In the mid 30s.

* TIMING...Late tonight through Thursday morning.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions may damage sensitive
  vegetation. Take steps now to protect tender plants from the
  cold.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Frost Advisory means that widespread frost is expected.
Sensitive outdoor plants may be killed if left uncovered.

&&

$$

 

Dang... Jalapeno and Banana Pepper plants are still going strong, living on borrowed time though.

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