Timothy Clyde Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 1 hour ago, AsheCounty48 said: And BOOM we're back in the snow potential business EURO very dry, which makes sense after the deluge we just witnessed. May take until mid Feb before we are looking at another "moisturized" system...to deliver something widespread from "west to east" and not just from the "top-down". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 1 minute ago, Timothy Clyde said: EURO very dry, which makes sense after the deluge we just witnessed. May take until mid Feb before we are looking at another "moisturized" system...to deliver something widespread from "west to east" and not just from the "top-down". Euro has the storm really far south that the GFS shows. Sharpen the trough and we're in business. It's really not too big of a stretch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timothy Clyde Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 21 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said: Euro has the storm really far south that the GFS shows. Sharpen the trough and we're in business. It's really not too big of a stretch. I honestly see very little potential through February 8th for the lower elevations foothills and Piedmont. MTNS may see some up-slope clipper potential but other than that looks like the pattern would favor rain chasing cold for now. Keep the storm south and it will stay dry/cold...bring it north and it looks like a wash (rain) for many. We have a solid 2-3 weeks to kill if we want to see any potential for Charlotte or Raleigh metros. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 23 minutes ago, Timothy Clyde said: I honestly see very little potential through February 8th for the lower elevations foothills and Piedmont. MTNS may see some up-slope clipper potential but other than that looks like the pattern would favor rain chasing cold for now. Keep the storm south and it will stay dry/cold...bring it north and it looks like a wash (rain) for many. We have a solid 2-3 weeks to kill if we want to see any potential for Charlotte or Raleigh metros. Well this is the mountains thread... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted January 24, 2017 Share Posted January 24, 2017 18z gfs threw down some great snow numbers through 240 all the NC MTNS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 24, 2017 Share Posted January 24, 2017 5 minutes ago, NC_WX10 said: 18z gfs threw down some great snow numbers through 240 all the NC MTNS Almost all favored slopes at 6+ with higher spots over a foot. I feel like we're getting closer to what we want. *Edit*- Quite a bit better than previous runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted January 24, 2017 Share Posted January 24, 2017 Got home today to a nasty, rainy, semi warm, foggy mess. I knew y'all would screw up the weather while I was away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 24, 2017 Share Posted January 24, 2017 35 minutes ago, SnoJoe said: Got home today to a nasty, rainy, semi warm, foggy mess. I knew y'all would screw up the weather while I was away. C'mon now I'm actually being positive about the weather for a change, you should follow my lead at least once lol welcome back! How was vaca? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted January 24, 2017 Share Posted January 24, 2017 10 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said: C'mon now I'm actually being positive about the weather for a change, you should follow my lead at least once lol welcome back! How was vaca? Wonderful. St Barthelemy is a beautiful island. Highly recommend. Only bad thing was it got chilly one night. I think we had a low of 73. Brrrr! I stayed in the hot tub an extra 15 minutes that night. It was horrible. But it looks like the models knew I came back. "I will make the weather great again !!!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 24, 2017 Share Posted January 24, 2017 Well we got some great rain the past few days. The river is running the highest iv seen it in over a year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted January 24, 2017 Share Posted January 24, 2017 20 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Well we got some great rain the past few days. The river is running the highest iv seen it in over a year. I noticed that too Met when I was driving by the Toe here in Yancey. Noticed a lot of run off around my house as well. Shows me the ground is finally being saturated again. Just need some cold air. Give me one good clipper and a decent snow flow event before the end of winter and I'll take it I guess. What can you do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted January 24, 2017 Share Posted January 24, 2017 00z gfs look even better than the 18z. Great trends for us mountain folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 24, 2017 Share Posted January 24, 2017 7 hours ago, NC_WX10 said: 00z gfs look even better than the 18z. Great trends for us mountain folks And the 6z is even better! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 24, 2017 Share Posted January 24, 2017 Don't have time to check if the other models have it, but at 312, there's a low coming across CNC on the 6z. That could be interesting to watch if we keep the trough in place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 24, 2017 Share Posted January 24, 2017 8 hours ago, SnoJoe said: I noticed that too Met when I was driving by the Toe here in Yancey. Noticed a lot of run off around my house as well. Shows me the ground is finally being saturated again. Just need some cold air. Give me one good clipper and a decent snow flow event before the end of winter and I'll take it I guess. What can you do. Yeah I agree Joe. This rainfall was great for a lot of places. Saturated ground, higher river, more water in streams and reservoirs. It's very good. Yeah I think we may get some good flow snow but I'm not so sure a long pattern change. We will see. I'm just sitting back watching right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 24, 2017 Share Posted January 24, 2017 12z GFS through 126 almost identical to the 18z from yesterday, but not as impressive as the 0z and 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 24, 2017 Share Posted January 24, 2017 Through 144, still very similar to the 18z, especially for the southern mtns. the northern mountains have a little less accum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 24, 2017 Share Posted January 24, 2017 Today's 18z with another slight step back on snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 25, 2017 Share Posted January 25, 2017 As Pack posted in the main forum, the 18z GEFS had several members showing the same storm that appeared on the 6z OP late in the run. Could be something to keep an eye on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 25, 2017 Share Posted January 25, 2017 0z and 6z snow a]totals through 240 have crept back up and look better than yesterdays afternoon runs. also our buddy around the 6th of February keeps showing up, entering a good month I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 25, 2017 Share Posted January 25, 2017 To me this is only a break in our current pattern regime. We get a break then we go back to a crappy look. I'm not impressed all that much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 25, 2017 Share Posted January 25, 2017 7 minutes ago, Met1985 said: To me this is only a break in our current pattern regime. We get a break then we go back to a crappy look. I'm not impressed all that much. Yea, the overall pattern doesn't look good short term, kinda like we have been seeing for much of the winter. but at least snow comes with it, and we need it. If we get even some of threat blocking the EURO has been showing mid February, I think we'll be golden. Even if that means we only get one week of cold, I'll run with the odds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 25, 2017 Share Posted January 25, 2017 8 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said: Yea, the overall pattern doesn't look good short term, kinda like we have been seeing for much of the winter. but at least snow comes with it, and we need it. If we get even some of threat blocking the EURO has been showing mid February, I think we'll be golden. Even if that means we only get one week of cold, I'll run with the odds. Yeah one week of a decant pattern this season would be like winning the lottery. We will see what happens. I'm not holding my breath. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted January 25, 2017 Share Posted January 25, 2017 Robert (wxsouth) sounds optimistic about a good February and march. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted January 25, 2017 Share Posted January 25, 2017 3 hours ago, AsheCounty48 said: 0z and 6z snow a]totals through 240 have crept back up and look better than yesterdays afternoon runs. also our buddy around the 6th of February keeps showing up, entering a good month I think. Been noticing a gradual uptick in EPS members with some kind of storm around that time. Could be the next big boy to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 25, 2017 Share Posted January 25, 2017 Nice April day out. Started off at 27 this morning now up to a nice sunny 60 degree day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 25, 2017 Share Posted January 25, 2017 9 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: Nice April day out. Started off at 27 this morning now up to a nice sunny 60 degree day. I was originally supposed to be skiing today, but have switched to playing golf. Not a bad trade off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 25, 2017 Share Posted January 25, 2017 38 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said: I was originally supposed to be skiing today, but have switched to playing golf. Not a bad trade off. Golf today... skiing should be good next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 25, 2017 Share Posted January 25, 2017 Euro is a but of a roller coaster. Up and downs. Some nice cold shots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 26, 2017 Share Posted January 26, 2017 The 18z did not look to bad in the immediate range. Looks like the cold front come through and we start getting some snow showers Thursday night through Friday then Sunday the super clipper comes through lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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