Brick Tamland Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Starting to get tornado warnings, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 4 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: They could go boat racing at Daytona today. That's gotta be a photoshop job. The infield is like 15-20 ft below the track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Summey Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 I got bamboozled! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncskywarn Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 With the NHC website down does anybody know a good alternate website to get their products from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 NHC site crashed again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metwannabe Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 NHC working for me.... new cone a tad more of SE NC in it, also has hurricane point just miles off the coast. TS warnings up to the OBX or were they there at the 5 am update, not sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 NHC is back up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 14 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: Sweet! Now we just need Pack's RGEM to confirm.... RGEM out shortly, but looks like the 4km NAM. The 4km was nasty. Clearly see the NW trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OpAck Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Yeah, I and just about everyone at work (in Wilmington) all got the Hurricane Warning emergency alert on our phones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 I'm on the Albemarle Sound and we just got placed under a TS Watch. Edit: Make that a TS Warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metwannabe Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 And Hurricane warnings now for southern coast of NC where was a TS warning previously Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 And the NHC is down again. Ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Wow...if the latest 11am track verified it would be awful for lots. Granted its a borderline cane by the time it's off ILM but still would be bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 They're back up. I managed to pull this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 I'm trying to find names of individual counties in the warning new area. Anyone have a current link? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 12z RGEM shows landfall too, a little north of previous runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metwannabe Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 I'm guessing Rah NWS was waiting for the 11am update and some or all of the 12z model output, but I think they will have to extend the flood watch at least a tier of counties NW tramadoc the Albemarle Sound actually in the TS warning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metwannabe Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 2 minutes ago, tramadoc said: I'm trying to find names of individual counties in the warning new area. Anyone have a current link? Hurricane Warning to Surf City and TS warning from there to Duck, using Huffman's tweet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 8 minutes ago, metwannabe said: I'm guessing Rah NWS was waiting for the 11am update and some or all of the 12z model output, but I think they will have to extend the flood watch at least a tier of counties NW tramadoc the Albemarle Sound actually in the TS warning Thanks Met. AKQ hasn't updated yet. My weather site KNCELIZA13 (and home) sit about 4 miles from the Albemarle Sound. I'm wondering if individual counties have been named or if it's just the Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds proper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 5 minutes ago, metwannabe said: Hurricane Warning to Surf City and TS warning from there to Duck, using Huffman's tweet Thank you sir. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metwannabe Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 2 minutes ago, tramadoc said: Thanks Met. AKQ hasn't updated yet. My weather site KNCELIZA13 (and home) sit about 4 miles from the Albemarle Sound. I'm wondering if individual counties have been named or if it's just the Albemarle and Panlico Sounds proper. Looks like Onslow County northward to Dare County all coastal counties in TS warning, south of there Hurricane Warning. Washington and Craven (while not on the coast but on the sound) are also in the TS warning... you can just look at your local NWS site Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 The NAMS kinda wobble around ILM I am starting to think that east turn might not happen or at least as sharply as modeled there, the sudden east to SE turn is just odd....I could see a landfall around ILM with the center riding up Hwy 17 towards New Bern then out over the sounds and across Hatteras with a more gradual turn to the east....or it coudl do that further south like the cane models and GFS had... Further south it really depends on the track, if it gets away from Florida some then Charleston up to ILM stand to get a lot more wind as the storm could restructure and rebuild the western side, if it stays tucked into the coast then its not gonna be that bad, ...surge will be a issue if it moves slow and has time to pile the water in, especially places like Sav and HH....then the north eyewall will be the roughest spot where ever it hits land at....if the center can maintain and get onshore ILM and move inland some then the NE and east sides come onshore the NC beaches and that could be really bad....again depending on the track and how much land the system interacts with up the coast... Still a lot of ?'s with this thing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 12 minutes ago, tramadoc said: They're back up. I managed to pull this. That looks like it should be between 85 and 100 mph wind it gets to NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 1 minute ago, downeastnc said: The NAMS kinda wobble around ILM I am starting to think that east turn might not happen or at least as sharply as modeled there, the sudden east to SE turn is just odd....I could see a landfall around ILM with the center riding up Hwy 17 towards New Bern then out over the sounds and across Hatteras with a more gradual turn to the east....or it coudl do that further south like the cane models and GFS had... Further south it really depends on the track, if it gets away from Florida some then Charleston up to ILM stand to get a lot more wind as the storm could restructure and rebuild the western side, if it stays tucked into the coast then its not gonna be that bad, ...surge will be a issue if it moves slow and has time to pile the water in, especially places like Sav and HH....then the north eyewall will be the roughest spot where ever it hits land at....if the center can maintain and get onshore ILM and move inland some then the NE and east sides come onshore the NC beaches and that could be really bad....again depending on the track and how much land the system interacts with up the coast... Still a lot of ?'s with this thing... Any chances for this to continue trending more north... what now is causing it to hit parts of NC? like what has changed?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 1 minute ago, metwannabe said: Looks like Onslow County northward to Dare County all coastal counties in TS warning, south of there Hurricane Warning. Washington and Craven (while not on the coast but on the sound) are also in the TS warning... you can just look at your local NWS site AKQ (as per usual) is late with updating. Went to MHX and saw that they have both mainland and OBX Dare, along with Beaufort and Hyde Counties (including Ocracoke) in the TS Warning area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 Latest pass showing NW eyewall with 100mph sustained winds.d Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncskywarn Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 17 minutes ago, tramadoc said: I'm trying to find names of individual counties in the warning new area. Anyone have a current link? I just looked at the National Weather Service ILM weather page they haven't come out with a list of counties under the new warnings yet but I'm sure they will shortly. But that would be your best bet to get the county breakdown once they're updated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 3 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: That looks like it should be between 85 and 100 mph wind it gets to NC. Looks that way... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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