White Gorilla Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 Feeling disappointed with this event though the snow was nice, even if very little and now melting away. Hoping January can deliver for us.Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 16 minutes ago, White Gorilla said: Feeling disappointed with this event though the snow was nice, even if very little and now melting away. Hoping January can deliver for us. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk How much did you end up with? I'm honestly not even sure what the forecasting lesson here was. It just did not want to snow meaningfully before the changeover. It seems like there was a general .25" to .5" of liquid in this storm, which is drier than most guidance I looked at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 28 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: How much did you end up with? I'm honestly not even sure what the forecasting lesson here was. It just did not want to snow meaningfully before the changeover. It seems like there was a general .25" to .5" of liquid in this storm, which is drier than most guidance I looked at. Forecasting lesson. Meteorology over modelology. The setup was not conducive for snow, as many on here, including myself, said. You cant have both a system cutting to the west and a high offshore drifting east. It creates a southerly flow with NO mechanism to lock in the cold air, even north and west. Sometimes it's about pattern recognition and not following weenie snow maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 7 minutes ago, psv88 said: Forecasting lesson. Meteorology over modelology. The setup was not conducive for snow, as many on here, including myself, said. You cant have both a system cutting to the west and a high offshore drifting east. It creates a southerly flow with NO mechanism to lock in the cold air, even north and west. Sometimes it's about pattern recognition and not following weenie snow maps. Well, no... most places in the interior verified their snowfall forecasts, as far as I can tell. I'm speaking specifically about central Dutchess which busted pretty bigly. I'm surrounded by significantly higher totals to my S, W, and N. Plenty of folks were beating the "pattern recognition" drum to insist that nobody, even in the far interior, would see accumulating snows, but 3-5" totals proved pretty common. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 How much did you end up with? I'm honestly not even sure what the forecasting lesson here was. It just did not want to snow meaningfully before the changeover. It seems like there was a general .25" to .5" of liquid in this storm, which is drier than most guidance I looked at.I think between 1-2 inches. Elevation mattered. I live in the town of Poughkeepsie near the Pleasant Valley border. Central Dutchess has been the screw zone for far too long and our low elevation relative to surroundings doesn't help. We are either too east, west, south or north in almost every system with few exceptions going back.Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 5 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: Well, no... most places in the interior verified their snowfall forecasts, as far as I can tell. I'm speaking specifically about central Dutchess which busted pretty bigly. I'm surrounded by significantly higher totals to my S, W, and N. Was gonna say, I received my forecasted totals, despite others suggesting little to none Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 Just now, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Was gonna say, I received my forecasted totals, despite others suggesting little to none I'm gonna need to see pics of all this "snow" you guys supposedly received. It can't snow with a low to the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 2 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: I'm gonna need to see pics of all this "snow" you guys supposedly received. It can't snow with a low to the west. For some reason you can't make out the shuwangunk ridgeline, kinda that darkening sloping figure behind trees to the right, drive up this morning, easily 8" up there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 Must be Photoshopped. This was a DOA rainstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 2 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: Must be Photoshopped. This was a DOA rainstorm. Lmao, atleast someone can't accuse it of being an old photo..the most snow I ever received in a single storm living up here so far is last nights... before that... 1.1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 5 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Was gonna say, I received my forecasted totals, despite others suggesting little to none My total of 3.7" was right in the range that Upton forecasted as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 Don't look now, but the RGEM likes a quick inch or two tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 Just now, Juliancolton said: Don't look now, but the RGEM likes a quick inch or two tomorrow night. Too late, I already saw it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 2 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: Don't look now, but the RGEM likes a quick inch or two tomorrow night. Oh good .....I need sleep bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 GFS has that band now too, not as enhanced as RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 Nam/GFS/RGEM coating to 2" tomorrow evening/night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 16 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Oh good .....I need sleep bad Maybe cause I'm older <shut up BxEngine> or don't have the bug as much but it needs to be something special for me to lose sleep these days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 2 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: Maybe cause I'm older <shut up BxEngine> or don't have the bug as much but it needs to be something special for me to lose sleep these days. Yea idk, I think early season does it, and the fact I've seen less than 10" in over 2 years total... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 GFS crushing Sullivan county again by this weekend, we see another 2-5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 1 minute ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Yea idk, I think early season does it, and the fact I've seen less than 10" in over 2 years total... They plowed my driveway this morning for the first time in close to two years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 Just now, IrishRob17 said: They plowed my driveway this morning for the first time in close to two years. Is 8-12" with temps in the teens that much to ask.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 Just now, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Is 8-12" with temps in the teens that much to ask.... I learned a while ago that those requests often go unanswered so I learned to take what I can get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 1 minute ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Is 8-12" with temps in the teens that much to ask.... Be careful what you wish for. You'll end up with 8.2" of sawdust at 15F while western CT gets buried under yards and yards. I'm not still bitter about Nemo, why do you ask... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 4 hours ago, IrishRob17 said: Total: 3.7" of snow Same here.. 3.7" here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 7 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: Be careful what you wish for. You'll end up with 8.2" of sawdust at 15F while western CT gets buried under yards and yards. I'm not still bitter about Nemo, why do you ask... What could a little cute cartoon fish do to you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 Just now, IrishRob17 said: What could a little cute fish do to you? That confounded "lucky fin" of his really grinds my gears! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 1 hour ago, psv88 said: Forecasting lesson. Meteorology over modelology. The setup was not conducive for snow, as many on here, including myself, said. You cant have both a system cutting to the west and a high offshore drifting east. It creates a southerly flow with NO mechanism to lock in the cold air, even north and west. Sometimes it's about pattern recognition and not following weenie snow maps. We verified here on this side of the river. 3-4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 GFS has fantasy land nor'easter next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 38 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Nam/GFS/RGEM coating to 2" tomorrow evening/night can't that come south just a tad please!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 2 minutes ago, allgame830 said: can't that come south just a tad please!! No! lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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