metalicwx366 Posted March 25, 2016 Share Posted March 25, 2016 TWC just explained it. Yeah it's the result of the wakelow near Macon causing the high wind event up there. These things are nearly impossible to forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NRVwxfan. Posted March 25, 2016 Share Posted March 25, 2016 Checking out radar tonight... is this going to be another classic 'Carolina Split'? It looked a lot more promising a couple hours ago, but now... *sigh* Is their any explanation as to why this keeps happening? You have a wall of precip over 1,000 miles long and it splits right at the Carolinas and nowhere else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted March 25, 2016 Share Posted March 25, 2016 Nice wall of wind that came with these storms. Easily gusted in the 45-55mph range like the weather advisory stated. You could hear the roar of the wind coming in the distance. +TSRA currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.C. Posted March 25, 2016 Share Posted March 25, 2016 Is their any explanation as to why this keeps happening? You have a wall of precip over 1,000 miles long and it splits right at the Carolinas and nowhere else. My guess are these systems keep coming in oriented north to south and when they hit land in florida they rapidly dry up. We need a 45 degree frontal zone or moisture thrown back from the Atlantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 25, 2016 Author Share Posted March 25, 2016 My guess are these systems keep coming in oriented north to south and when they hit land in florida they rapidly dry up. We need a 45 degree frontal zone or moisture thrown back from the Atlantic.Jim Cantore explained this morning that the storms will travel torwards the highest moisture in the atmosphere ( dp's) and he said this morning , despite what the short range models were showing , the storms would drift more torwards S AL, GA, and N FL, where the highest DP's were and they would cut off the moisture transfer to the North. Looks like he was right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted March 25, 2016 Share Posted March 25, 2016 0.06" overnight. "Drought buster" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted March 25, 2016 Share Posted March 25, 2016 .12" around 5:15 this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 25, 2016 Author Share Posted March 25, 2016 0.0 and 70 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted March 25, 2016 Share Posted March 25, 2016 .20" with those showers/storm this AM, instability isnt to shabby if storms do fire a few could get strong or severe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted March 25, 2016 Share Posted March 25, 2016 71, light rain and breezy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted March 25, 2016 Share Posted March 25, 2016 Radar shows NC 100% rain free at the moment. It's going to take some work to get any showers/storms going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted March 25, 2016 Share Posted March 25, 2016 Geez----now instead of a dry Saturday into Sunday night, my grid is showing a chance of rain/drizzle/showers from tonight through Monday 2:00PM?? Guess the 'front' is going to stall out closer to the coast instead of passing offshore? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 25, 2016 Author Share Posted March 25, 2016 Geez----now instead of a dry Saturday into Sunday night, my grid is showing a chance of rain/drizzle/showers from tonight through Monday 2:00PM?? Guess the 'front' is going to stall out closer to the coast instead of passing offshore?Your lucky , I'm at like 78 and bone dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted March 25, 2016 Share Posted March 25, 2016 I'll count the lucky if and when the drops fall. We're just .63" for the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted March 26, 2016 Share Posted March 26, 2016 Over an inch of rain for the event so far. Heavy rain currently. Expecting an additional 2-5 inches of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted March 26, 2016 Share Posted March 26, 2016 Enjoy it ---- up this way they're squashing any rain. AS OF 831 PM FRIDAY... INTERESTINGLY... RADAR DEPICTED COVERAGE OF LESS THAN 1 PERCENT OVEROUR NORTHERN PIEDMONT WITH THE COLD FRONT SLIPPING SOUTH THISEVENING. THE FRONT WAS CLEARLY VISIBLE VIA THE 0.5 REFLECTIVITY ONRADAR THIS EVENING TRACKING SOUTH INTO THE TRIAD AND TRIANGLE AREASAT MID-EVENING. A SHOWER WAS LOCATED OVER SOUTHERN VA... BUT JUSTTHE VERY LIGHT ISOLATED VERY LIGHT RAIN SHOWER NOTED NORTHOF GSO WITH THE FRONT OVER NC. IT REALLY LOOKS AS THOUGH THE WINDOWOF OPPORTUNITY FOR SHOWERS IS CLOSING RAPIDLY WITH THE FROPA ITSELFAS RADAR TRENDS... OBSERVATIONAL DATA... AND THE HI-RES MODELSSUPPORT LITTLE ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY. WE WILL DROP BACK POP FOR ANISOLATED SHOWER TO AROUND 15 PERCENT OVERNIGHT. IT ALSO APPEARS THATAT LEAST HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT INTHE SW FLOW ALOFT. WE WILL MAINTAIN THE MOSTLY CLOUDY FORECAST...BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY LATER IN THE NW. LOWS GENERALLY IN THE UPPER40S TO MID 50S WITH THE COOLER/DRIER LOW LEVEL AIR ARRIVAL DELAYEDUNTIL LATER TONIGHT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted March 26, 2016 Share Posted March 26, 2016 Enjoy it ---- up this way they're squashing any rain. Fail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted March 26, 2016 Share Posted March 26, 2016 0.00" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted March 26, 2016 Share Posted March 26, 2016 It's 61 outside --- that's our forecast high for the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 26, 2016 Author Share Posted March 26, 2016 A few sprinkles and cloudy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted March 26, 2016 Share Posted March 26, 2016 Currently 66/52. Feels so much better out there today than yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted March 26, 2016 Share Posted March 26, 2016 Looks like RAH is feeling our pain... .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... AS OF 345 PM SATURDAY...WELL IT REFUSES TO RAIN IN CENTRAL NC...YESTERDAY OR TODAY...BUTMODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW RAIN LATER THIS EVENING AND AT TIMES ONSUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RubiksDestroyer Posted March 26, 2016 Share Posted March 26, 2016 Just started rainning here. Hopefully even this little bit will put a damper on all the pollen, which has come out in full force over the past two days. But looking at the radar, it doesn't appear it will last long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted March 26, 2016 Share Posted March 26, 2016 Wow biggest bust ever. 90-100% chances of rain today and there was nothing over the entire NWS JAX FCST area. The models did a terrible job. Ready to see NWS JAX next discussion on what happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted March 26, 2016 Share Posted March 26, 2016 I was just assaulted by some lost raindrops! Looks like we have a light shower moving in now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted March 27, 2016 Share Posted March 27, 2016 That light shower exploded and stalled overhead. Approaching 1/2"!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted March 27, 2016 Share Posted March 27, 2016 Ended up with .65" before the shower moved on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted March 27, 2016 Share Posted March 27, 2016 Well the NWS JAX didn't say anything about why nothing made it anywhere over the FCST area. They just mention that a meso high dominated the FL peninsula which was well advertised by the NAM12. All the runs of the NAM12 also had a significant amount of precipitation over the area. Apparently there are 45-55mph winds to our SW near the FL/GA border associated with stratiform light rain over the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted March 27, 2016 Share Posted March 27, 2016 Drizzle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted March 27, 2016 Share Posted March 27, 2016 Love the wording RAH has been using lately. Good stuff... ELSEWHERE... ONLY PATCHY LIGHT SHOWERSHAVE BEEN OBSERVED.RDU HAS REPORTED 0.02 OR JUST ENOUGH TO MAKE ALL THEVISIBLE YELLOW POLLEN COLLECTING ON EXPOSED SURFACES TURN TO PASTE! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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