Birds~69 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 At the latest I would think based on radar. Will have to see how the dry air affects the northern edge as it encroaches upon us. I would expect several inches by daybreak here. After I wrote that and looking at the radar/following MA Obs...I'm seeing earlier. Maybe way earlier... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 22, 2016 Author Share Posted January 22, 2016 Again, almost nowcast time. Model data wont be of much use by 18z. Things are already changing rapidly. Ground zero ftw! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Someone post todays 12km nam snowfall that other map was yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 This is really happening king euro will be knocked off its thrown Dr No eliminated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I'll take this in a heart beat. Think Holly upgrades to at least 14-20 if models hold at 12z today. namconus_asnow_neus_26.png that map is 12Z from yesterdays run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 todays 12Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kicking Up A Storm Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Is a quicker storm and earlier start time a good thing for us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Is a quicker storm and earlier start time a good thing for us? Typically I would say yes, but I don't think it really has much baring on the outcome really. The old saying does go like this however for delayed storms "A storm delayed is a storm denied" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baseball0618 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 RGEM should temper expectations of a NAM coup in terms of how far north this gets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 RGEM should temper expectations of a NAM coup in terms of how far north this gets. yes, but for SEPA it still looks very good EDIT - it creeped south EDIT again - on the northern fringe that is. SEPA still looks the same as 6Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 GFS is rolling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 RGEM should temper expectations of a NAM coup in terms of how far north this gets. It's still further north than before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 GFS out to 9 precips knocking on PA border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baseball0618 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 yes, but for SEPA it still looks very good EDIT - it creeped south EDIT again - on the northern fringe that is. SEPA still looks the same as 6Z Yes SEPA looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baseball0618 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 It's still further north than before. It is and that's why earlier back I stated all you should take from the NAM's most recent run is that the northward progression on the models may still continue however the NAM is likely overdoing it's reach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 18 mod snow in SEPA. Not as much ridging out ahead of it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 22, 2016 Author Share Posted January 22, 2016 FWIW, as expected, 12K NAM overzealous with northern edge of precip. Way off on this radar depiction: Hardly any precip anywhere in PA save for some virga/flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Ripping snow hr 27-33 EDIT - actually ripping snow 24-33!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 this is going to be a very nice outcome for SEPA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Per NYC forum we get pummeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 crushed at 27 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 22, 2016 Author Share Posted January 22, 2016 RGEM ticked North a hair in regards to heaviest precip axis 12Z vs 6Z. BIG SE and South Central PA hit! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Plokoon111 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 When should we break out the bottles? You think lower bucks co is good? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 22, 2016 Author Share Posted January 22, 2016 When should we break out the bottles? You think lower bucks co is good? Golden Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 up to 3' in SEPA on the GFS maps BAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 When should we break out the bottles? You think lower bucks co is good? Based on the GFS.....ummmm YEAH! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 22, 2016 Author Share Posted January 22, 2016 12Z GFS is a SEPA crippling storm. WOW@! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 From ma forum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Speechless it blows the NAM out of the water Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 It looks like DC will share the wealth on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.