NwWhiteOut Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Going to place my bets on temperature forecast for the area being a bust today. Sitting at 29 still and was supposed to hit 40. Agree, its 30 here. Im thinking this could play a role in tonight/tomorrow mornings bout of crap we get lol? So is this storm tonight supposed to be a bigger one or what, im so confused by all the constant changes from the NWS on these things im lost now haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2K4 Posted January 20, 2016 Author Share Posted January 20, 2016 Agree, its 30 here. Im thinking this could play a role in tonight/tomorrow mornings bout of crap we get lol? So is this storm tonight supposed to be a bigger one or what, im so confused by all the constant changes from the NWS on these things im lost now haha Man, I honestly don't even know anymore. Lol. I think it should play a role in at least tonight and tomorrow's precip but just my two cents at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Man, I honestly don't even know anymore. Lol. I think it should play a role in at least tonight and tomorrow's precip but just my two cents at this point. Me either, it does seem like we are getting a bit more busier in precip again. Just maybe this could be a good sign for Feb. who knows lol. I need a good storm to go for a hike in though so I can test this new actioncam thing I got! Something, anything even if its 2 inches of darn snow at this point haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Yeah, although this system hasn't looked good on either of those models for the last several runs. I am not sure what they see that we don't. I haven't seen anything that would give Fayetteville 1.5" of snow... unless the EURO is saying something along those lines. Nah, 12z Euro, outside of some drizzle or flurries is boring for the entire run it looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Nah, 12z Euro, outside of some drizzle or flurries is boring for the entire run it looks like. bleh Im so ready for spring, worst winter ever for sure . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spot Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Had ice glazed on trees this morning. Such a waste of a winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Winter Weather Advisory out for much of SW MO again tonight through noon tomorrow. Looks like freezing drizzle is the primary issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spot Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Winter Weather Advisory out for much of SW MO again tonight through noon tomorrow. Looks like freezing drizzle is the primary issue. I'm not surprised at all. Prob more of that around here before it's done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2K4 Posted January 20, 2016 Author Share Posted January 20, 2016 NWS Tulsa has taken away pretty much all hope for anything down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ouamber Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I'm starting to get seriously worried about this winter! If we get nothing the first week of February, I'm going to be screaming! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2K4 Posted January 21, 2016 Author Share Posted January 21, 2016 Latest HRRR looks a little heavier with the mixed precip in NW AR and NE OK tonight. May be advisory worthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Latest HRRR looks a little heavier with the mixed precip in NW AR and NE OK tonight. May be advisory worthy. Yesterdays GFS was showing 11" in little rock wasnt it lol? It smells like its gonna do something out there to me, as weird as that sounds. Its like before or after a thunderstorm the air gets that feel and smell to it. Never got above 32 today so thats a plus! I just want something to happen other than this spotty light off and on junk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Yah we actually had better than a trace of snow in Springdale this morning. After advisories were cancelled, nothing in the forecast. Snowed pretty good for awhile. Models are junk this yr. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G900A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 I agree that the HRRR does look interesting. Let's see if precip starts to show up on radar west of Tulsa as it suggests. Maybe it's onto something. We're begging for anything at this point, but I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Yah we actually had better than a trace of snow in Springdale this morning. After advisories were cancelled, nothing in the forecast. Snowed pretty good for awhile. Models are junk this yr. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G900A using Tapatalk Crazy! It snowed in springdale this morning? It did nothing here really all night just drizzle lol. The roads were completely fine here. It seems here that the cutoff line is 412 and north lol. Theres always that cutoff line too I noticed in each area. Watch this overperform tonight if there is no advisories or anything haha. Thats usually how it seems to go with tulsas NWS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Yah man it was crazy. Seemed like a snow globe right over Springdale. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G900A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Radar returns are picking up west of Tulsa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Snow fall amounts are over performing pretty significantly in northern ks. They have upgraded to winter storm warnings there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Updated AFD from Tulsa... Precipitation is starting to develop to the west of the TulsaCWA this evening as a mid-level shortwave works across Oklahoma.With temperatures slowly creeping upwards across northern portionsof the forecast area through the evening...the forecast has becomesomewhat trickier. The HRRR is doing a good job of developing precipitationacross the area and expect the precip shield to continue to blossom throughthe night. Precip type is the tricky part. After looking at the latestNAM forecast soundings, light snow and freezing drizzle seem like the bestbet across far north Oklahoma and into northwest Arkansas tonight. However,some heavier freezing rain/rain may also develop across these areas. Withtemperatures so close to freezing and still some uncertainty in the forecastwill not issue and advisory at this time. EDIT: TSA has pulled the trigger on an advisory for NW AR and Ottawa and Delaware in NE OK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Don't see no advisory for here yet, if they do that may be the "kiss of death" once again lol. Roads will probably be fine if we stay right at 32 degrees. Watch it pan out and overperform and my temp holds at 33, wouldnt shock me any at all lol. And the writeup "north of 412" lol....sighhhh Theres the advisory haha, ugh plz something come from this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ouamber Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 We had a few moments of sleet tonight. Guess that's it for here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2K4 Posted January 21, 2016 Author Share Posted January 21, 2016 Ooh lightning! Impressive! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2K4 Posted January 21, 2016 Author Share Posted January 21, 2016 Pretty good convective sleet shower now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Sleet and snow mix here, just started up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2K4 Posted January 21, 2016 Author Share Posted January 21, 2016 HRRR nailed it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 HRRR nailed it.Maybe something good will come out of this... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2K4 Posted January 21, 2016 Author Share Posted January 21, 2016 Idk. I'm not going to be awake to find out much more though. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Just wont get below 33 here, goodness we cant win this winter...another bust probly haha. Shame cause its been snowing and sleeting fairly good off and on...next Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Wound up with about an inch of snow here in Monett that fell in about 45 minutes. Looks like our system tonight will miss most of us with an appreciable snowfall, although it has trended NW the last few runs... but just by a county or two. Which site do you all use to look at the HRRR? The site I was using has been extremely far behind. For example, right now it is showing the most recent run as the 05z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2K4 Posted January 21, 2016 Author Share Posted January 21, 2016 I was using pivotal weather's HRRR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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