Texas/New Mexico/Louisiana/Mexico Obs And Discussion Thread Part 7

[Chinook]

The storm near Tishomingo OK may be developing weak rotation, as well as 1-2" hailstones.

[Quixotic1]

Rob and I might get clipped....

[bubba hotep]

Here comes our watch as the dryline slowly unzips

 

[Roy]

Looking pretty likely now...things getting interesting. 

[Quixotic1]

Front is catching up.....

[NTXYankee]

Storms slowly developing down the dryline but boy they are hugging it.

[bubba hotep]

Front is catching up.....

 

Front is still west of the dryline and you can see storms firing behind the dryline as the front moves in. Should see the remainder of the dryline go off as lift associated with front spreads over. Interestingly, the minimal tornado threat will be greater than if storms would've fired earlier along dryline. 

[bubba hotep]

crappy cell phone pic

 

[Roy]

So the front is east of the dryline? I thought the dryline was the east thin line, and the front is the more broken line with some smaller showers ahead of it now a few counties behind the dryline? 

[bubba hotep]

So the front is east of the dryline? I thought the dryline was the east thin line, and the front is the more broken line with some smaller showers ahead of it now a few counties behind the dryline? 

 

Ha... yes, front is west. Typos happen when holding a baby and not having slept much. Shows up nicely on radar now

 

[Quixotic1]

crappy cell phone pic

I'd show mine but it's not much better. Got an anvil shape to it now. All I ask for is a wind and light show!

[Quixotic1]

Ha... yes, front is west. Typos happen when holding a baby and not having slept much. Shows up nicely on radar now

I defer to you on this. Just thought the secondary development was indicative of the front while the initial development was along the dry line. Was looking at humidity levels earlier and seemed good. I'm with you on baby stuff. That was me about 3 years ago. Managed to win that month in the contest in the main thread. Haha.

[bubba hotep]

I defer to you on this. Just thought the secondary development was indicative of the front while the initial development was along the dry line. Was looking at humidity levels earlier and seemed good. I'm with you on baby stuff. That was me about 3 years ago. Managed to win that month in the contest in the main thread. Haha.

 

That is right, my post early got east/west mixed up. 

[Calderon]

The front has just passed through Altus, OK. What we're seeing is pre-frontal forcing with the upper trough coming in, thus igniting things further on the dryline. The front should overtake it roughly right over the southern side of the Metroplex, which may enhance storms initially as they move over Dallas. 

[Quixotic1]

Well, I've got my light show!

[Calderon]

Closely watching the warned cell in northern Tarrant County as it may try and produce a quick spin-up north of Saginaw and its southern flank is surging forward and wrapping back in. Otherwise, very intense winds are likely, >70mph. 

[Calderon]

and that cell is now TOR warned.

[bubba hotep]

The front has just passed through Altus, OK. What we're seeing is pre-frontal forcing with the upper trough coming in, thus igniting things further on the dryline. The front should overtake it roughly right over the southern side of the Metroplex, which may enhance storms initially as they move over Dallas. 

 

Thanks for clearing that up!

 

Unrelated, these 1 min scans are awesome!

 

8:50 pm

 

 

8:55 pm

 

 

So one min you are about to get slammed and then you pickup the split

[radarman]

Definitely a possible tornado east of 287

 

[bubba hotep]

Definitely a possible tornado east of 287

 

bonds_range_tor_ref.png

bonds_range_tor.png

 

Was just about to post that, was about 3 to 5 min after what I posted above

[bubba hotep]

Effective helicity continues to increase and LCLs continue to drop east of the line, so a few more spin ups could be possible this evening.

 

[Chinook]

Any rotation seen by weather spotters in Ft. Worth metro? Looks like this could be a short-lived tornado, but velocity values are not that strong seen by area radars (isn't it nice to have 3 radars...)

[Quixotic1]

Any rotation seen by weather spotters in Ft. Worth metro? Looks like this could be a short-lived tornado, but velocity values are not that strong seen by area radars (isn't it nice to have 3 radars...)

7+ million folks demand it!

[Calderon]

Looks like this same cell may be trying to produce yet again, this time just east of Westlake and moving across Grapevine Lake right now. 

[bubba hotep]

Looks like some pretty nasty hail for Flower Mound and moving across 35E right now 

[NTXYankee]

Got some nice hail in Lewisville

[NTXYankee]

Hope the pic shows up, won't load but dime to quarter size

[bubba hotep]

Nearly continuous light show here in Collin County!

[bubba hotep]

Wow, greenish purple of hail core showing up nicely

[cheese007]

Got a ton of nickel to quarter size here in Richardson