David Reimer Posted June 5, 2014 Share Posted June 5, 2014 The HRRR is showing an impressive MCS moving across Central Oklahoma after midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted June 5, 2014 Share Posted June 5, 2014 Tornado reported south of Sioux Falls. Tor watch in a see text 0% area. Nice. Caught everyone off guard here. I was listening to music bashing my head against the desk because of ArcGIS when the SOO came in and said "by the way, there's a funnel cloud out the window". (See short term thread for a picture.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Msalgado Posted June 5, 2014 Share Posted June 5, 2014 Caught everyone off guard here. I was listening to music bashing my head against the desk because of ArcGIS when the SOO came in and said "by the way, there's a funnel cloud out the window". (See short term thread for a picture.) OT but as someone who works with Arc day in and day out let me just say I feel your pain immensely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted June 6, 2014 Share Posted June 6, 2014 PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 824 PM CDT THU JUN 5 2014 ..SURVEY RESULTS FOR SOUTHERN WEBSTER HOPKINS AND CHRISTIAN COUNTY FOR JUNE 4 2014... EVENT: STRAIGHT LINE WINDS PEAK WIND: 85 MPH INJURIES: 0 FATALITIES: 0 TIME BEGIN: 7:40 PM (APPROXIMATELY) BEGIN LOCATION: EARLINGTON - NEBO KENTUCKY TIME END: TBD END LOCATION: TBD (SURVEYED SOUTH TO PILOT ROCK RD IN EAST CENTRAL CHRISTIAN COUNTY) MAXIMUM WIDTH: 10 MILES LENGTH: 50+ MILES SUMMARY: THE BROAD AREA OF SCATTERED WIND DAMAGE CONSISTING MOSTLY OF DOWNED TREE LIMBS AVERAGING 3 TO 6 INCHES IN DIAMETER...WITH OCCASIONAL UPROOTED TREES...GENERALLY SMALL IN SIZE. TIN ROOFING WAS PEELED PARTIALLY OFF OF A FEW OUTBUILDINGS OR BARNS AND ONE SMALL GARAGE HAD ITS ENTIRE ROOF BLOWN OFF ON ISOM ROAD IN CHRISTIAN COUNTY. NOTE: THE INFORMATION IN THIS STATEMENT IS PRELIMINARY AND SUBJECT TO CHANGE PENDING FINAL REVIEW OF THE EVENTS AND PUBLICATION IN NWS STORM DATA. EDIT: Removed the claim that the reports were bogus and fake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted June 6, 2014 Author Share Posted June 6, 2014 Any person with any experience with radar could've seen that. I don't know who was on shift at PAH last night, but it should've been completely obvious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCS_hunter Posted June 6, 2014 Share Posted June 6, 2014 Any person with any experience with radar could've seen that. I don't know who was on shift at PAH last night, but it should've been completely obvious. That person must have graduated from Mississippi State. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 6, 2014 Share Posted June 6, 2014 Any person with any experience with radar could've seen that. I don't know who was on shift at PAH last night, but it should've been completely obvious. It was pretty embarrassing. They did get a public report in addition to the chaser reports but no way that was a violent wedge based on radar. Lean on dual pol at least before issuing a PDS warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted June 6, 2014 Share Posted June 6, 2014 Footage from Jonesboro earlier today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted June 6, 2014 Author Share Posted June 6, 2014 It was pretty embarrassing. They did get a public report in addition to the chaser reports but no way that was a violent wedge based on radar. Lean on dual pol at least before issuing a PDS warning. Yes, there was no indication at the time of a large/deep TDS, debris ball or intense couplet. There surely would be normally considering how heavily forested that region is. Also, nice looking tornado warned supercell WNW of Tulsa right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted June 6, 2014 Share Posted June 6, 2014 Oklahoma cell. Pretty favorable environment for sups. Not sure what the wind field Is doing, but could get spin ups as long as cells remain discrete Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted June 6, 2014 Share Posted June 6, 2014 Reports of extensive damage in the Jonesboro area and widespread power outages, that bow is really cranking. Severe winds apparently lasted >15 minutes. Incredible stuff there, can't envision a 15 minute period of that level of fury in a severe thunderstorm. I searched YouTube for any video from there (seems like people don't film derecho's for some reason) and found this gem: One of the best tower cam storm footage clips I've ever seen! There are various waves and gusts throughout it but at 5:50 in the video is where it gets truly insane, looks like the eyewall of a category 4 hurricane and winds stronger then reported from Jonesboro AR. It was the only video posted 5 hours ago but since Nate posted another, there likely are more popping up. Derecho forecasting is so tough, but so thrilling. As this one exits our region, it looks like it might charge all the way into northern Georgia. I was going to say derecho forecasting must be hard since some of the big one's I've seen weren't predicted or the magnitude of them. The one last year barely verified I think. Also your right about making its way to GA, just dying out on the boarder of GA/SC!! That person must have graduated from Mississippi State. Ross Hull from CBC here in Canada graduated from there via online course I believe. The only one I know from MS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted June 6, 2014 Author Share Posted June 6, 2014 Some rather volatile looking soundings coming out of western OK and the TX PH tomorrow afternoon/evening as well as a rather robust s/w emerges from the Four Corners with 40-50+ kts of mid level flow and a backed low level jet overlapping the warm sector. Cap does look manageable and forecast hodographs look pretty healthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted June 6, 2014 Share Posted June 6, 2014 Worth waking up early Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Msalgado Posted June 6, 2014 Share Posted June 6, 2014 It looks like the boundary leftover from storms this morning near AMA will be my target. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted June 6, 2014 Share Posted June 6, 2014 Report on the Nebraska severe weather, with 3 confirmed tornadoes (though one may have been a gustnado): http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=gid&storyid=102689&source=0 The rest was just straight-line winds (which are plenty damaging, anyway). This storm did have more gustnadoes than any other storm I've seen, though... they were seemingly everywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted June 6, 2014 Share Posted June 6, 2014 Once again, a derecho seems to be taking shape in Arkansas. The line of storms west of Little Rock has been producing wind reports, and there is a base velocity area of 65 kts near Russelville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted June 6, 2014 Author Share Posted June 6, 2014 It looks like the boundary leftover from storms this morning near AMA will be my target. Yeah that looks like a good place to start. I'm surprised there hasn't been more mention of today. It could be a pretty decent PH chase day, which hasn't been seen in awhile. MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0859NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0151 PM CDT FRI JUN 06 2014 AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF NERN NM...WRN TX/OK PANHANDLES CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE VALID 061851Z - 062045Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT SUMMARY...THE AREA IS BEING MONITORED FOR AN INCREASING RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...AS WELL AS POSSIBLE WW ISSUANCE. DISCUSSION...MOIST UPSLOPE FLOW AND DIURNALLY ENHANCED... TERRAIN-DRIVEN CIRCULATIONS ARE FOSTERING TOWERING CU AND ISOLATED DEEPER CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS. ADDITIONAL CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT MAY ENSUE OVER THE MOUNTAINS FARTHER S LATER THIS AFTERNOON...BUT SHOULD BE MORE ISOLATED BENEATH COMPARATIVELY DRIER MID-LEVEL CONDITIONS PER WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. STORMS THAT FORM OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN WILL BE STEERED ONTO THE ADJACENT PLAINS...WHERE VIS IMAGERY INDICATES BOUNDARY-LAYER CUMULUS DEVELOPMENT WITHIN A PLUME OF MIDDLE 50S-AROUND 60F SFC DEWPOINTS. THIS MODESTLY RICH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE LIES BENEATH STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES SUPPORTING 1000-2000 J/KG OF MLCAPE...WHICH WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO SUPPORT INTENSE UPDRAFTS/DOWNDRAFTS. STRONG DIRECTIONAL SHEAR AMIDST 30-40-KT MID-LEVEL WSWLYS COULD FOSTER INITIAL SUPERCELL STRUCTURES WITH LARGE HAIL AND SVR WINDS. A RISK FOR TORNADOES MAY EXIST INVOF/E OF A RESIDUAL OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ANALYZED FROM E OF RATON NM TO N OF PLAINVIEW TX. INTO THE EVENING...AMALGAMATING COLD POOLS COULD FOSTER UPSCALE GROWTH INTO ONE OR MORE CONVECTIVE SYSTEMS INTO THE TX/OK PANHANDLES...WITH THE MAIN SVR RISK TRANSITIONING TO SVR WINDS. ..COHEN/WEISS.. 06/06/2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Msalgado Posted June 6, 2014 Share Posted June 6, 2014 Sitting in Dalhart pretty happy with the HRRR runs. That boundary is clear as day on the visible now. Storms going up in in NM so I guess now I just sit and wait for a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted June 6, 2014 Author Share Posted June 6, 2014 Tornado reported east of Trinidad, CO. Beauty... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted June 6, 2014 Author Share Posted June 6, 2014 Another supercell with good rotation near Maxwell, NM. MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0863NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK0323 PM CDT FRI JUN 06 2014AREAS AFFECTED...TX/OK PANHANDLES AND NERN NMCONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELYVALID 062023Z - 062130ZPROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENTSUMMARY...THE RISK FOR SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGINGWINDS...AND TORNADOES IS INCREASING...AND THE ISSUANCE OF A TORNADOWATCH IS LIKELY.DISCUSSION...THE AIR MASS S OF STALLED OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ARCING FROMNRN NM TO NEAR/E OF AMARILLO IS MOIST AND STRONGLY UNSTABLE...ANDHAS SHOWN SIGNS OF NWD RETREAT. SUPERCELLS DEVELOPING OVER THEHIGHER TERRAIN OF NM WILL ADVANCE EWD ONTO THE PLAINS. STRONGLOW-LEVEL DIRECTIONAL SHEAR WILL FOSTER A RISK FORTORNADOES...ESPECIALLY NEAR/N OF THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. DMGG WINDSAND LARGE HAIL ARE ALSO EXPECTED...COHEN/WEISS.. 06/06/2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Msalgado Posted June 6, 2014 Share Posted June 6, 2014 Man thats a gorgeous Tornado. New MD out for the PH area. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0863.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted June 6, 2014 Author Share Posted June 6, 2014 Over 100 kts GTG east of Trinidad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted June 6, 2014 Author Share Posted June 6, 2014 Tornado watch issued for northeastern NM and the TX/OK Panhandles until 03z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted June 6, 2014 Share Posted June 6, 2014 Tornado reported east of Trinidad, CO. Beauty... those are cool pics a confirmed tornado near Greeley CO. (This seems to be a very small storm cell.. is this a nonsupercell tornado?) WELD CO- 245 PM MDT FRI JUN 6 2014 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM MDT FOR SOUTH CENTRAL WELD COUNTY... AT 245 PM MDT...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF HOYT...OR 24 MILES SOUTHWEST OF FORT MORGAN... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JasonOH Posted June 6, 2014 Share Posted June 6, 2014 That Trinidad tornado is a beauty. Is that confirmed tornado near Greeley a rain wrapped violent multi-vortex wedge? *eyeroll*. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted June 6, 2014 Share Posted June 6, 2014 Boulder office going a little crazy with the tornado warning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 6, 2014 Share Posted June 6, 2014 Looks like it waited for most chasecationers to go home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 6, 2014 Share Posted June 6, 2014 Jealous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted June 6, 2014 Share Posted June 6, 2014 A group of storm chasers I know spotted a cone funnel cloud about 20 miles SW of Des Moines, NM. It lasted about a minute or two, but there was a ridge between them and the funnel cloud so they aren't 100% sure it hit the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted June 6, 2014 Author Share Posted June 6, 2014 That supercell near Wagon Mound, NM is cranking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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