A-L-E-K Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 anyone to the north can punt anything more than an inch or two now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 anyone to the north can punt anything more than an inch or two now Except that all that convection is moving northeast but hey who wants to introduce facts into your downplay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Except that all that convection is moving northeast but hey who wants to introduce facts into your downplay. hot tip, my line is oriented to the northeast but good call, i agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Yes. Safely south of Aleks red line. All is right with the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 hot tip, my line is oriented to the northeast but good call, i agree Yeah lets ignore all the stuff back to KC too then right and I would call that east northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Yes. Safely south of Aleks red line. All is right with the world. we're both going to be riding the razors edge but should do ok-ish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Small hail reports coming out of the convection south of the Quad Cities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 anyways, still sitting at 37 and there's a definite warm layer so we'll be mix'n and ping'n to start but should flip to all snow without too much wasted QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Solid mid level lapse rates Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 I don't think 995mb along I-70 was planned by any models. 0Z NAM from last night ... ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 hot tip, my line is oriented to the northeast but good call, i agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 thanks, andy. I should have said ENE, glad that's cleared up. line still stands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Extrapolated his line is correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Extrapolated his line is correct. Lol that wasn't the point at all, but I suppose it just flew over the head like the Spitfire acting as the compass rose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFan Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Lost 3 more degrees last hour. 41F now with rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 .25" hail reported at Morris and Mendota Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 21z SREF's coming in NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL826 PM CDT TUE MAR 11 2014ILZ011>013-019>023-120200-DE KALB IL-DUPAGE IL-GRUNDY IL-KANE IL-KANKAKEE IL-KENDALL IL-LA SALLE IL-WILL IL-826 PM CDT TUE MAR 11 2014...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...AT 819 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATEDAN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM SOMONAUK TOBRACEVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.REPORTS OF PEA SIZE HAIL ALONG WITH WINDS GUSTS TO 40MPH...OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESESTORMS.CITIES AND TOWNS AFFECTED...SANDWICH... BRAIDWOOD... DIAMOND...COAL CITY... SOMONAUK... NEWARK...BRACEVILLE... MORRIS... WILMINGTON...OTHER LOCATIONS AFFECTED...ARGONNE NATIONAL LABORATORY...AURORA UNIVERSITY...BENEDICTINEUNIVERSITY...COLLEGE OF DUPAGE... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL 826 PM CDT TUE MAR 11 2014 ILZ011>013-019>023-120200- DE KALB IL-DUPAGE IL-GRUNDY IL-KANE IL-KANKAKEE IL-KENDALL IL- LA SALLE IL-WILL IL- 826 PM CDT TUE MAR 11 2014 ...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT... AT 819 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM SOMONAUK TO BRACEVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. REPORTS OF PEA SIZE HAIL ALONG WITH WINDS GUSTS TO 40 MPH...OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. CITIES AND TOWNS AFFECTED... SANDWICH... BRAIDWOOD... DIAMOND... COAL CITY... SOMONAUK... NEWARK... BRACEVILLE... MORRIS... WILMINGTON... OTHER LOCATIONS AFFECTED... ARGONNE NATIONAL LABORATORY...AURORA UNIVERSITY...BENEDICTINE UNIVERSITY...COLLEGE OF DUPAGE... cool...morris and coal city are the only cities i've heard of on that list. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 21z SREF's coming in NW. They've been NW of all other models for 3 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 A lightning flash in the sky to my SW. Pretty cool to see considering a decent snow is on the way.....maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 I was gonna say....will the hail that falls from these onset t-storms affect the baro-zone and ultimate path? .... just to add fodder, but clearly there is enough....so I shant do it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Poorly initialized 0z RAP and it's still juiced here. Probably can shave off a little with these first storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 They've been NW of all other models for 3 days. NW compared to the 15z run... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 A lightning flash in the sky to my SW. Pretty cool to see considering a decent snow is on the way.....maybe. That's awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Looks like the HRRR dryslots me. No rain or nothing else has fallen here today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Poorly initialized 0z RAP and it's still juiced here. Probably can shave off a little with these first storms. rapFLT_sfc_precacc_011.gif Lake enhancement over Chicago? Told ya Alek. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Looks like the HRRR dryslots me. No rain or nothing else has fallen here today. more of a plain old miss than a dry slot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Lake enhancement over Chicago? Told ya Alek. parameters suck....they lake might add .00001" on the back end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 more of a plain old miss than a dry slot I only say that because it rained north of here today in Racine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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